Spot the Differential

Three budget FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 13 and beyond

Gameweek 13 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned and somewhat unfashionable picks at Watford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Burnley who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JOSHUA KING

  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: lei | CHE | MCI | bre | bur

Joshua King (£5.6m) has slotted seamlessly into Watford’s attack this season, and has particularly impressed following the arrival of Claudio Ranieri.

Despite a disappointing loan spell at Everton last term, where he could only find 138 Premier League minutes, he has since thrived as the Hornets main centre-forward. Prior to Ranieri’s appointment, he assisted three times against Norwich City and Newcastle United, and has followed that up with four goals in four games under the Italian, including a hat-trick at Goodison Park. It could have been more, too, as he won the opening penalty against Manchester United last weekend, only for Ismaila Sarr (£6.0m) to miss.

Notably, over the last four Gameweeks no player in any position – not even Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) – can better him for goal attempts (17) or big chances (seven), while only the Egyptian has more penalty box touches in that time.

Life at Vicarage Road has been anything but dull since Ranieri’s arrival. In his five games in charge, Watford have scored nine goals and conceded 10, with a visit to a Leicester City side up next who have failed to keep a single clean sheet since the opening day. In fact, the Foxes’ 21 goals conceded is the joint-third worst in the division, while the expected goals (xG) tally is only slightly better. The schedule to follow is admittedly tough, but eases from Gameweek 16 onwards, with games against Brentford (a), Burnley (a), Crystal Palace (h), Wolverhampton Wanderers (a) and West Ham United (h) before the end of the year.

King has delivered a string of impressive displays of late, and given his appealing longer-term schedule, could be the pick of the budget forwards over the festive period.

TARIQ LAMPTEY

Why Duffy was benched and Foden’s fine form: FPL notes from Brighton v Man City 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: LEE | whu | sou | TOT | WOL

Tariq Lamptey (£4.4m) has been Brighton and Hove Albion’s stand-out performer since returning from injury, and was unlucky not to get on the scoresheet against Aston Villa last weekend, when he was denied by a fine save from Emiliano Martinez (£5.5m).

The youngster was substituted late on, with Villa scoring twice soon after his departure, as Graham Potter continues to manage his recovery following his long-term hamstring problem. As a result, he surely won’t start every game in December, but providing you have a strong bench, it shouldn’t be too much of an issue, especially given his budget price tag.

Lamptey’s positioning since returning from injury has been hugely encouraging, playing very far up the right flank and often hugging the touchline. Because of that, since making his first start in Gameweek 11, amongst all defenders, only Reece James (£6.1m) and Ben Chilwell (£6.0m) have touched the ball more often in the opponent’s penalty area, with his four shots in the box only bettered by Chelsea’s wing-backs and team-mate Antonio Rudiger (£5.9m).

Albion now face a Leeds United side who have struggled in attack all season, scoring just seven Premier League goals in seven games in the absence of Patrick Bamford (£7.7m). Encouragingly, for those considering investing, their meeting with Marcelo Bielsa’s side marks a reasonably favourable run, too, with matches against Southampton (a), Wolverhampton Wanderers (h) and Brentford (h) in the coming weeks.

Lamptey has been a real threat down the wing for Brighton in recent matches, and with an ownership of just 0.8%, could be an effective defensive differential.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: TOT | wol | new | WHU | WAT

Chris Wood (£6.7m) may have had a slow start to the season, but has now netted two goals in his last three appearances.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 goals in each of his four top-flight campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, while his performances over the last three Gameweeks have helped his team beat Brentford and take points from in-form Chelsea and Crystal Palace. That’s coincided with Wood and Maxwel Cornet (£6.1m) being paired together up front, a period which has seen Sean Dyche’s side score more goals than any other team bar Liverpool.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 13, Wood could find some joy against a Tottenham Hotspur backline which is still adapting to a new style of play under Antonio Conte, while fixtures to follow against Wolverhampton Wanderers (a), Newcastle United (a), West Ham United (h) and Watford (h) offer further encouragement that he can kick-on.

Burnley appear to have moved up a gear in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given that Wood has scored two in his last three, could be a nice differential pick for our frontlines.

1,032 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Antonio & Broja to Wood & King?

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      what a terrible top post.

    2. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think I prefer Benteke over Wood.

    3. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Just get King.

    4. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yikes

  2. Riggs
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I need to bench one of those:
    A) Rudiger (have James playing)
    B) Antonio
    C) Toney

    1. Chris_White
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      b

    2. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Have all three (and Mbeumo) and am going Antonio on the bench.

  3. Il Capitano
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    2FT 0 ITB

    Guaita
    TAA Cancelo Chilwell
    Salah Son Raph Mbeumo
    Vardy Antonio Toney

    Foster - White Livramento Brownhill

    Want to get James in tonight, but not sure on the best route for funds:

    A) Antonio + Chilwell > King + James (funds next week to get Alonso and/or Gallagher)
    B) Antonio + Chilwell > Dennis + James (funds for Jota next week)
    C) Toney + Chilwell > 6.2 fwd + James (no funds for upgrades)
    D) Son + Chilwell > Jota + James

    1. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      D for me.

      In fact, once you do that we'll have almost identical teams.

      1. Il Capitano
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers, losing Son before that fixture run though...

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Go to Vardy>Kane the following week

          1. Il Capitano
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Could work out, but the hokey cokey means I miss out on one of Spurs easier fixtures and then I need to have a transfer spare to ship Kane out again in a couple GWs time.

  4. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What would you do next week?

    A. Raya to Ederson
    B. Duffy to Alonso & play Foster vs Chelsea

    1. Il Capitano
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Sell Raya, but not keen on pricey GKs, Raya to a 4.6+ keeper and Alonso in for -4 viable?

    2. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ramsdale has more points per match than Ederson for much less money.

    3. Mr. O'Connell
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Can't plan transfers I'm afraid

  5. DycheDycheBaby
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do here guys? 1FT. 1.9itb.

    Sa
    TAA--James--Cancelo
    Salah--Son--Raphinha--ESR
    Antonio--Wilson--Jimenez
    (Steer, Duffy, Livramento, Sissoko)

    1. Dammit_182
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think you roll. Good starting 11 there. Raph for Jota maybe but I think raph does ok this week.

  6. bobbyg
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Chilwell and Havertz to

    Jota and James -4?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Sounds good to me.

    2. Il Capitano
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Approved

    3. bobbyg
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks guys

    4. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Two injured guys for two of the best fantasy assets (when considering price) in the game. Easy yes.

  7. Viper
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A. Lamptey & Jota (-4)

    B. Alonso & Saka

    1. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      With Lamptey you'll live in constant fear of a sub before 60'.

      1. Dammit_182
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        And constant hope he gets a haul….one day….

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nothing wrong with Saka this week

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Mbeumo worth holding? Also have Toney! Thinking of taking a hit for Foden if he's fit, or else Bilva! Thoughts?

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Hold Mbuemo for 2 more

    2. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'm holding. He's a cheap nailed OOP forward on a team that scores an average amount of goals. The xG are there, I really feel he's due for some returns.

  9. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Exact money.

    2fts.

    White+Benny➡️James+Gilmour

    (have Rudiger also)

    Need to do it tonight...

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      So long as Gilmour is nowhere near the 1st XI

  10. SuperG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Need to make a call on Foden. Any news?

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not until tomorrow.

      I'm gonna eat Jota's price rise tonight. Hurts but I need that Foden news before moving.

    2. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think Foden is a hard hold. I wouldn't bring him in right now, but I also wouldn't use a FT to get rid when he has such scoring potential.

  11. Teahupo'o
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    TAA worth the extra -4?

    A) Chilwell Foden Hwang ➡ TAA Jota Davis -8
    B) Chilwell Foden ➡ James Jota -4

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo Rudiger Reguilon Chilwell*
    Salah Son Raphinha Foden*
    Vardy Toney

    (Foster, Hwang Livramento Luiz)

    1. Angelic upstart
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Son to jota
      Chil to TAA

  12. Angelic upstart
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    13 mill need a defender and a midfielder. Who to get?

    Got cancelo, James, TAA, livra Salah,foden, Gallagher & jota

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudi, Alonso, Walker, Andersen?

      Bowen, Raph, Cornet, Bilva?

  13. Fish up a tree
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Not a joke, who makes the starting 11

    A Mbeumo
    B Kane

    1. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Surely gotta be Kane. If you won’t play him, get rid of him.

  14. Lignja
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How is this transfer plan looking

    Havertz, Benrahma to Jota, Gundogan -4

    Sanchez
    Taa, James, Cancelo
    Salah, Son, Havertz, Raphina, Benrahma
    Antonio, Wilson

    Livramento, Amartey, Scarlet

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Na. Why Gundog?

  15. Bleh
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Chilwell > James FT done. Rest of the team/bench order correct?

    Sanchez
    James, TAA, Cancelo
    Salah, Son, Gallagher, Jota
    Vardy, Antonio, Dennis

    (Steele, Duffy, Livramento, Allan)

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Decent team. All set I think.

      1. Bleh
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers! Not taken a hit all season, trying to plod through all the injuries one at a time…

  16. Gabbiadini
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Raphinha to Jota yes/no?

    1. BeWater
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes I would.

    2. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not for me.

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No from me.

      I'm looking to lose Antonio for Jota instead.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Raphinha is my only source of funds.

    4. DycheDycheBaby
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I considered it but I think Raph will do fine..

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I do too, he is a very good selection.
        However, will I still own him post gw15? And by then Jota I will not be able to afford due to his price rise(s).

        1. FPL Theorist
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Just back yourself and do it!

          1. Gabbiadini
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            I'll post my team later, on the surface I would probably say no too but yeh leaning towards doing so.

    5. Bruin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

    6. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'm not really sure why you're getting this chorus of No's. Raphinha is great, but Jota is a fantasy scoring machine when playing, and he should be playing a lot in the near future.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        What is the updated news of Firmino's injury?

        That's one of the big questions.

    7. Carefree Crew
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes. Leeds next 7 games, 6/7 are good defensive teams.

      2 of Raphinas goals were crosses where he got lucky. Although I know he could have picked up more points. Jota is to good to ignore.

    8. Angelic upstart
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes for definite. Jota will be playing for some time as Salah and Mane or going Afcon late December.

      Raph is good, but barely any assists before bamford back and Leeds are miles away from playing a first eleven.

  17. BeWater
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A. Play Ben White
    B. Sarr to Gallagher and play him over White

    1. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B if free, otherwise no problem with A.

  18. sirmorbach
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Friends please:

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Dias (Livramento)
    Salah, Foden, Raphinha, (Mbeumo, Luiz)
    Antonio, Wilson, Toney

    A. Mbeumo to Jota (bench Antonio)
    B. Dias to Alonso
    C. Save FT

    1. Eastman
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

      1. sirmorbach
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thank you, sir

    2. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like A

      1. sirmorbach
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

    3. Il Capitano
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

      1. sirmorbach
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Many thanks, Capitano!

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

      1. sirmorbach
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks, dawg

  19. Eastman
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Chilwell and Foden >
    James and Jota -4 ?

    1. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you can do Chily > James without the other move, go for it. I wouldn’t take a hit without waiting for Foden news.

      1. Eastman
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Can't afford it unfortunately

  20. gart888
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Good to go?

    Guaita
    TAA Cancelo James Rudiger
    Salah Jota Raphinha Mbeumo
    Vardy Toney

    Antonio Livramento Sissoko

    0.8 ITB.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Good enough

  21. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A Team gtg
    B Take -4 on Chilwell to Alonso and play over Antonio
    C Take -4 on Antonio to Toney or Jiménez

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo
    Salah (c) Raphinha Jota Gallagher ESR
    Kane Antonio

    Foster Livramento Scarlett Chilwell

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Chilly looks to be a long term casualty so I'd just pull the plaster off

    2. gart888
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Probably A, but I wouldn't hate B at all.

    3. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I’d do A, and Then Chilwell to Alonso next gameweek for free

      1. Angelic upstart
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        What 1912 said

    4. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A all day

  22. asquishypotato
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any reason to not bring Son in tonight?

    Apart from individual form, stats, team morale etc.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      More info.

      1. asquishypotato
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Seems logical, I live in fear of price rises

    2. Angelic upstart
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Spurs aren't at the races. Son has over performed for years and sooner or later that will show on the pitch. Kane is terrible.

  23. Zilla
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Chilwell to TAA and downgrade Foden for -4.

    Yay or nay?

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Foden is such a great asset to own but imo Trent is essential so you might have to do it? You got anyone else?

      1. Zilla
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Well not really, here's the current team:
        Cancelo Dias James Chilwell
        Salah Foden ESR Mbeumo
        Ronaldo Vardy

        So basically my only other option would be selling Vardy but not keen on doing it specially this GW.

        1. Letsgo!
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Please jus sell vardy. I see watford winning.

    2. Eastman
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      That's what I'm considering but Chilwell to James. I'd say yes

    3. SoulShakinTex
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Chill to TAA and downgrade Ronaldo instead?!

      1. Angelic upstart
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        What Soulshakintex said. Lose Ronaldo for anyone. Get Trent and move to 3-5-2 by upgrading 5th mid to jota with the spare cash.

  24. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Swallow my pride and do it?

    Livramento and Son to James and Jota -4? Can afford Alonso for Watford by doing this.

  25. Gabbiadini
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Boring question but best 4.4 mid?

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      At this point probably Gilmour

    2. SoulShakinTex
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Also prefer Gilmour to Bissouma and Brownhill

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeh, the only knock on Gilmour is probably the lack of CS 1 pointers.

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Still Brownhill. Unless Gilmour is now a sure starter

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        yeh gilmour is nailed now.

    4. waldo666
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Gilmour

  26. mcginnntonic
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Vardy and chilwell to Kane and Emerson/Lamptey? (Cant afford reguilon annoyingly) - would have to be done tonight before price rices

  27. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Sanchez
    Taa cancelo coady tierney
    Foden salah esr gallagher
    Kane toney

    Subs steele antonio livra rice

    1ft 0.8 itb, will you make any changes?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Gtg. Love your team this week

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        But foden is an issue now…

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Think he'll play

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Some Chelsea defence would be nice perhaps.
      Foden might force a change.

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        But also.. i jus feel manutd gonna score

    3. Carefree Crew
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Chelsea WB / Tierney to Alonso?

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Tierney vs newcastle… dont think i will sell him this week

        1. Angelic upstart
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Will Tierney play? Sell him for chels defender

  28. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    GTG? 1 FT, 2.4 itb

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo
    Salah C Son VC Foden ESR
    Antonio Toney Hwang

    Foster Livra Chilwell* Brownhill

    Tempted to do Chilwell & Brownhill > Regs & Jota (-4) before being priced out later

  29. Carefree Crew
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Sanchez, Steele,
    TAA, Cancel, Rudiger, *Duffy*, Livramento,
    Salah, Foden, *Raphina*, *Mbuemo*, *Luiz*,
    Kane, Antonio, *Toney*,

    2 FT's, £1.3mil ITB

    A) Wildcard : *James*, *Jota*, *Gilmour*, *Gallagher*, *Davis*

    B) Minus 4, Duffy, Mbuemo, Raphina OUT.
    Alonso, Jota, Gilmour IN

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like B

    2. Carefree Crew
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks for reply mate. 🙂
      Anyone else please?

  30. mcginnntonic
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is the consensus king or dennis?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      King for me