Pro Pundits

How I’m planning to navigate a chaotic Gameweek 17 and beyond

Pro Pundits 29

Wow.

Well, it’s a bit of a mess, isn’t it? With COVID-19 once again throwing the festive schedule into disarray, I just want to start this article by saying that I hope anyone who is suffering or knows someone suffering from this horrible virus makes a swift recovery. Look after yourselves and each other.

Fantasy Football of course provides a welcome distraction from everything that’s going on, and while things are in such a state of turmoil, knowing what to do with your team can cause extra undue stress. Well, I’m in the same boat.

I had my transfer planned this week, a nice and easy move of Raphinha (£6.6m) to Bernardo Silva (£7.7m). Not the most exciting, but a solid move to tap into Manchester City’s favourable two games. However, United’s postponement means I am now without Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m) and Bryan Mbeumo (£5.5m), João Cancelo (£6.8m) is suspended and Tino Livramento (£4.5m) is a doubt. Arsenal also played well without Emile Smith Rowe (£6.0m) and I’m a bit worried that Mikel Arteta names an unchanged side for their London derby clash tomorrow night.

Above: My current team for Gameweek 17, no transfers used

Identifying the weak links

The strategy I normally advise others when faced with predicaments such as these is to identify the weak links in your side and work from there.

For example, selling Cancelo or Ronaldo may seem logical given that we know they won’t be playing in Gameweek 17, but I know I’ll want them back going forward and in the case of Cancelo, I’ll be losing out on £0.4m, making it very hard to get him back. Ruben Dias (£6.1m) was a consideration, but while it may pay off this week, I think it will weaken my squad with Cancelo still offering great value in the weeks and months ahead.

Looking at my team, the obvious weak link is Ben Johnson (£4.0m), whose injury couldn’t have come at a worse time for him, having just got a foothold in the West Ham side, or myself, who just bought him into my team as a cheap substitute option. Livramento, and Southampton, have also gone off the boil lately and with a very mixed run of fixtures to come (cry, BRE, whu, TOT, NEW) and a slight injury concern, this may be a good time to cash in and sell.

In midfield, I have two players who probably wouldn’t form part of my optimal squad going forward. Mbeumo and Raphinha have been doing well for me in the last few weeks, and selling them would be a fairly reluctant move, but it may need to be done to get a better team out for Gameweek 17. Mbeumo’s Gameweek 18 and 19 games look half-decent (sou, bri) whereas Raphinha’s are the opposite, with three very tricky fixtures on the horizon (mci, ARS, liv). But, of course, Raphinha has a game this week whereas Mbeumo doesn’t. Selling Raphinha when he is one of my most guaranteed starters feels a bit… wrong. But it’s my easiest route into the Man City midfield (more on this below).

I was tempted to include Smith Rowe in my potential transfers out, but I do believe he is part of Arsenal’s strongest line-up and has been a great asset for me so far this season. With Leeds and Norwich following West Ham, he’s an easy hold for me.

Looking at this logically, then, upgrading Johnson is the most sensible move for me, ensuring a better bench for the games to come.

Identifying targets

Az One half of the FPL BlackBox YouTube series with Mark Sutherns.Former Membership Strategy Manager for FFS  Follow them on Twitter

1,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Did I read somewhere that Martinez is out with Rona?

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      yes and konsa, glad to have Pukki

      1. Disco Stu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        That just saved me a transfer as Steer is my backup to DDG

      2. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Is this confirmed?

        1. Jonesfromthere
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          just rumours

  2. Salarrivederci
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Davis to Pukki or Dennis?
    1.7 ITB and 1 FT

    Current team for this GW:
    Schmeichel
    TAA - James - Rudiger - Dias
    Salah - Jota - Zaha - Sissoko - Gilmour
    King

    (Ward, Davis, Ronaldo, Cancelo)

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      pukki

    2. Homo Sapien
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Pukki

    3. Matjes_taet
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Pukki

  3. Atimis
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Last decision:

    1) Raph
    2) BSilva -4
    3) Foden -4
    4) Sterling -4

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I went sterling

    2. Atimis
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling is tempting - take -4 now as a long term move? Or will Raph run a riot against City?

      1. Bubz
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        He might get a lucky pen

      2. Jonesfromthere
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I'd do it for a hit if you're confident he starts like I am.

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1 but if you are desperate for a city player then I would go for 4

      1. Atimis
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Not desperate but will be getting one next week anyway so tough call

    4. Homo Sapien
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      3

  4. Ask Yourself
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed. Dennis or Pukki?

    1. Tshelby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Dennis!

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      pukki

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Long term Pukki when considering AFCON. Short term Dennis if you don't have King

  5. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which City player do you want?

    A) Bilva
    B) Foden
    C) Gundogan
    D) Grealish
    E) Mahrez

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Of those A

    2. lilmessipran
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A or B / A and B ..avoid the rest

    3. Matjes_taet
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Jesus

  6. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez
    TAA, James, Williams
    Salah, Foden, Jota, ESR
    Antonio, King, Wilson
    Ramsdale, Cancelo*, Allan*, Dalot*
    3.5 itb, 1 ft.

    A) Wilson -> Watkins (only Allan bench)
    B) Allan -> Bowen (bench Wilson)
    C) Save ft (play Wilson away to city)

    1. Tshelby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

  7. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who are you guys putting the VC on ?

    Normally I would go for a player from a different match just in case of a postponement but in the unlikely event Salah is rested maybe cover that outcome by going with Jota

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Bernardo. Dont c and vc from the same game thats just asking for pain

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Raz

    3. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Gallagher

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        This

    4. Ze_Austin
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Foden or Gallagher for me

    5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Foden

    6. lilmessipran
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Dilva

    7. teneighty
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      VC anyone from a fixture tonight who is nailed.

  8. Catastrophe
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    5.1 to spend on a Striker who will normally be 3rd sub on the bench but will be 2nd sub this GW:

    A) Gelhardt (4.5 and bank the rest)
    B) Broja (5.1 and is injury doubt)

    Cheers!

  9. Taegugk Warrior
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    So…. There is no scout picks for gw17..?

    1. tbos83
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      They'll leave it right until the last minute, as per (v annoying)

  10. Homo Sapien
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Gundogan to
    a) Foden
    B) Gallagher

    For free

    1. JoeSoap
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B sure starter

      1. Homo Sapien
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        That's a good point. I just sold him before the Everton because he was playing too deep

    2. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Homo Sapien
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all

  11. JoeSoap
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any of the following worth a hit?

    A. Mbeumo>Jota
    B. Mbeumo>Mount
    C. Other

    I had enough set aside to do Wilson>Ronaldo so any of the above will prevent this going forward.

    Ramsdale
    TAA, James, Alonso, Livra (iffy)
    Salah, Gallagher, Bilva
    Wilson, Antonio, Dennis
    Foster, Luiz, Mbeumo, Cancelo

  12. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Current team looking like:

    Sanchez
    TAA - Alonso - Livramento - White
    Salah - Bernardo - Gundo - Bowen
    Toney* - King

    Bachmann - Brownhill - CR7* - Cancelo*

    Toney --> Watkins looks ok? Cant stretch to Antonio with money itb.
    Toney + Gundo --> Pukki + Jota (-4) is unnecessary for the hit right?

    1. Homo Sapien
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The hit looks alright tbh

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        dont know if i fancy Pukki though...

  13. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench? Your opinion?

    A. Antonio (ars)
    B. King (bur)

    1. tbos83
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Neither

    2. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Antonio

    3. Homo Sapien
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Play King

    4. Boss Hogg
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What's a bench?!

    5. _Gunner
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Neither

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Jesus is the third alternative..should I bench him? King and Antonio should play full 90?

  14. Drogba Legend
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Luckily had a great week. Back up to 33k OR. Help appreciated. Can field 11 with Brownhill (if he plays) without using a FT.

    Ramsdale
    TAA - Rudiger - James - Livra
    Salah - Raph - Saka - Jota - Brownhill
    Dennis

    4.0 - Ronaldo** - Toney** - Cancelo**

    A) Raph > Bowen
    B) Save FT
    C) Raph + Saka > Bilva + 5.5 mid
    D) Ronaldo out by himself or with another for a hit?

  15. sminkypinky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Keep Vardy and save ft for next gw or Vardy to Watkins?

    1. Killitzer
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I am keeping in the hope he actually plays a game

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I want to save but I’ll be fuming if he doesn’t play. Livra and Cancelo already stinking up my bench.

      2. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers for your input.

    2. Tasty Jerk
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’m tempted to give Vardy one more week but also itching to ditch him

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Bakar suggested keep. Leaning towards that. Thinking two ft’s next week will be golden.

    3. RogDog_jimmy
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’m keeping because I don’t have a replacement I like that much.
      If I roll 1ft this week I can move him to a 5.0 and upgrade my fifth mid.

      Was going to do this gw but Rashford has to go first.

      Reluctant keep for me.

  16. Jamb0
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Josh Brownhill, you've been warming my bench for weeks but I'm counting on you for a jammy return on your debut... don't let me down

    1. CrouchDown
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Won't start

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hard to let anybody down when he's on Dyche's bench

  17. AppleDunk
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Just noticed on the FPL website, there are two lines of "Expected Points" on the right-hand side of the "Pick Team" page, just above the "View Gameweek history" link.

    Anyone knows what they are and why are there two of them?

  18. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Has Sanchez got COVID or is it just a rumour?

    1. Moose™
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Need to know as well

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Twitter rumour, same for Konsa and Martinez (or at least I've seen no evidence so far)

  19. Babit1967
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Fancy a Burnley defender Dalot to Lowton for free, most boring transfer ever but it gets 11 players out

    1. Tasty Jerk
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I got Lowton in last week, pretty happy with it.

      1. Babit1967
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, me too, same points this season as Livra and Livra has been a revelation

  20. Sun God Nika
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Should i give Vardy the boot or upgrade livramento this GW?

    A, Vardy -> Watkins
    B, Livramento -> Targett , Guehi, or Tierney?

    1. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hold vardy one week as he was rested

  21. Tasty Jerk
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Up front have Dennis and could do FT for…..

    A) Ronaldo to Lukaua
    B) Vardy to Lukaku
    C) Ronaldo or Vardy to someone else?

    Know there is rumours that Tuchel doesn’t like him, but also get that gut feeling he could start and haul.

  22. Strchld
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    If Spurs game won't be postponed, do we think Reguillon would start?

    1. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’m starting him just in case

    2. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hoping he’ll play and starting.

    3. Dammit_182
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Same, he is in the back line with the mighty Wilson first bench just in case he is (somehow) still out.

  23. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Given the covid uncertainty, is it too risky to go with c and vc from the same club this gw?
    I'm on Salah (c) and Jota (vc).
    Better to spread the risk?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      As a general rule (especially with the way things are currently) you should avoid putting your VC on someone in the same match as your C

    2. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes spread risk

      People got caught out with Kane/son combo last season

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        o/

    3. Mr-Inbetween
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I hadn't thought of this, currently same as you with Salah & Jota.
      But now you have highlighted a very good point I will be updating my VC!

  24. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    GTG? Y/N no transfer left

    Ramsdale
    TAA, James, Reguilon*
    Salah(c), Jota, Bilva, Gallagher (vc)
    King, Watkins, Vardy

    Foster*, Livramento*, Brownhill, Cancelo*

  25. CrouchDown
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    (A) Sterling + Dennis

    (B) Foden + Watkins

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Foden and Dennis

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Had almost the exact same dilemma, went A but Pukki over Dennis

  26. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    ESR > Gallagher for free? Would leave me with this:

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Livra
    Salah Jota Bernardo Gallagher
    Antonio Dennis

    Foster Brownhill Cancelo Ronaldo

    1. Dammit_182
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      So I am waiting a week, playing ESR this week to get Bowen next week. There sadly is not room for them all BUT this week Gallagher is a superb option and he is over Christmas too.

      I would just decide if you wa t him o we Christmas and if so make the switch today.

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Some good logic there thanks. I am a bit concerned that ESR could start on the bench this GW so not sure

        1. Dammit_182
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Yea, it is in no way a bad move switching to Gallagher. For me I want Bowen instead but with all the Covid I’ll take the risk of an ESR benching + pick him up next week with 2FT’s.

          For your team it looks good so I’d be minded to make the switch

  27. 272MK
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Cristiano to who?

    A) Antonio (ars NOR)
    B) Dennis (bur CRY)
    C)Benteke (SOU wat)

    Just 2 fixtures coz i might buy cristiano back after. Rest of my team is good enuf

    1. Blens
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm considering Lukaku and buy back Ronnie for his next fixture

  28. Moose™
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hi all,

    Thoughts?

    Sanchez Foster

    TAA Cancelo* James (White Livra*)

    Salah Bilva Jota Bowen (Brownhill)

    CR7* Watkins Dennis

    1 FT & 0.0 ITB

  29. v3n0m
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    FT Ronaldo -> Watkins or save & play D. Luiz?

  30. Stranger Mings
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Guys is my team strong enough for this week or do I need a transfer?ta
    Mendy, TAA, James & reguilion
    Salah, foden, jota & ESr
    Dennis, Jesus & benteke
    Subs- foster, Bowen , livra & cancello