Pro Pundits

How I’m planning to navigate a chaotic Gameweek 17 and beyond

Pro Pundits 29

Wow.

Well, it’s a bit of a mess, isn’t it? With COVID-19 once again throwing the festive schedule into disarray, I just want to start this article by saying that I hope anyone who is suffering or knows someone suffering from this horrible virus makes a swift recovery. Look after yourselves and each other.

Fantasy Football of course provides a welcome distraction from everything that’s going on, and while things are in such a state of turmoil, knowing what to do with your team can cause extra undue stress. Well, I’m in the same boat.

I had my transfer planned this week, a nice and easy move of Raphinha (£6.6m) to Bernardo Silva (£7.7m). Not the most exciting, but a solid move to tap into Manchester City’s favourable two games. However, United’s postponement means I am now without Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m) and Bryan Mbeumo (£5.5m), João Cancelo (£6.8m) is suspended and Tino Livramento (£4.5m) is a doubt. Arsenal also played well without Emile Smith Rowe (£6.0m) and I’m a bit worried that Mikel Arteta names an unchanged side for their London derby clash tomorrow night.

Above: My current team for Gameweek 17, no transfers used

Identifying the weak links

The strategy I normally advise others when faced with predicaments such as these is to identify the weak links in your side and work from there.

For example, selling Cancelo or Ronaldo may seem logical given that we know they won’t be playing in Gameweek 17, but I know I’ll want them back going forward and in the case of Cancelo, I’ll be losing out on £0.4m, making it very hard to get him back. Ruben Dias (£6.1m) was a consideration, but while it may pay off this week, I think it will weaken my squad with Cancelo still offering great value in the weeks and months ahead.

Looking at my team, the obvious weak link is Ben Johnson (£4.0m), whose injury couldn’t have come at a worse time for him, having just got a foothold in the West Ham side, or myself, who just bought him into my team as a cheap substitute option. Livramento, and Southampton, have also gone off the boil lately and with a very mixed run of fixtures to come (cry, BRE, whu, TOT, NEW) and a slight injury concern, this may be a good time to cash in and sell.

In midfield, I have two players who probably wouldn’t form part of my optimal squad going forward. Mbeumo and Raphinha have been doing well for me in the last few weeks, and selling them would be a fairly reluctant move, but it may need to be done to get a better team out for Gameweek 17. Mbeumo’s Gameweek 18 and 19 games look half-decent (sou, bri) whereas Raphinha’s are the opposite, with three very tricky fixtures on the horizon (mci, ARS, liv). But, of course, Raphinha has a game this week whereas Mbeumo doesn’t. Selling Raphinha when he is one of my most guaranteed starters feels a bit… wrong. But it’s my easiest route into the Man City midfield (more on this below).

I was tempted to include Smith Rowe in my potential transfers out, but I do believe he is part of Arsenal’s strongest line-up and has been a great asset for me so far this season. With Leeds and Norwich following West Ham, he’s an easy hold for me.

Looking at this logically, then, upgrading Johnson is the most sensible move for me, ensuring a better bench for the games to come.

Identifying targets

Az One half of the FPL BlackBox YouTube series with Mark Sutherns.Former Membership Strategy Manager for FFS  Follow them on Twitter

1,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Good luck to all those taking hits this week.
    I've decided to stick it out, save my FT, and hope that ESR and Livramento get me some points.
    Too much uncertainly flying around for my liking, so I'm holding on to what I've got and reassessing in a few days.

    Yikes!

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      smart GL

    2. WVA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Even if ESR and Livra play I won't have 10 players! I stuck it out last week with Son and Reguilon and dropped 50k even with bringing DDG in for Sanchez!

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      GL!

  2. R123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Pep drew one and lost one against Bielsa last season. No City a big risk this week?

    1. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      different season, can't compare. Leeds are weak.

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        this

  3. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    which move:
    a. Gundo to Gallagher/Bowen
    b. Armstrong to Pukki/King

    1. KrisMCFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Like both, would prioritise b and go Bowen with nice fixtures next week

  4. Tripleh123
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Repost.Leaning towards C or B atm. For a hit of -4, Ronaldo to

    A Laca
    B Watkins
    C Vardy
    D.Antonio

    1. Mozumbus
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D due to fixtures

  5. Castiel
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Just realised I made it through another round of the cup. Feel like a giant killer now

  6. Bobby Digital
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Scout picks?

  7. WVA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Ronaldo Bowen White -12
    B. Son Antonio Reguilon -8

  8. Super John McGinn-
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts?

    Ramsdale
    TAA, James, Alonso
    Salah (C), Gundo*, Jota, ESR
    Ronaldo*, Antonio, Dennis

    Foster*, Livramento, Brownhill, Cancelo*

    1 FT 0 ITB

    A) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Watkins + Foden/BSilva (-4)
    B) Ronaldo > Watkins
    C) Save and wait for next GW
    D) Other

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      How do you plan to get Ronnie back if you have no money in the bank? Bench him and play Brownhill. Not worth screwing up your team for.

      1. Super John McGinn-
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Would be Alonso + Gundo + Watkins/Antonio > Dalot + Gilmour + Ronaldo in next couple of GW

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Why is Gundo *'d ? I'd be tempted to save, but B is a decent punt.

      1. Super John McGinn-
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Still got a knock so don’t think he will start this week

  9. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I read somewhere Guaita may have dislocated shoulder and may be a doubt. Is this correct? If so may move Foster to Bachmann

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      * dislocated finger

    2. THAT'S LIFE
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      So much for my getting Sanchez and Guita for 'cover'

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I may be incorrect as cannot find any reference- just a comment from fpl Salah

        1. THAT'S LIFE
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          He did whack his hand late on v Everton

  10. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Okay to save FT and reassess next GW?

    Sanchez ¦ Steele
    TAA Cancelo* Rudiger
    Salah Foden Mount Bowen Gallagher
    Ronaldo* Dennis
    ¦ Reguilon* Livramento* Davis

    0.0 ITB, 1 FT

    1. Big Hands Barry
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep save,,,am doing this too. No cash and not prepared to wreck my team transferring out Ronnie. Playing with no GK and Broja in starting 10. Fingers crossed for us.

  11. Malinwa
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Have Guiata and Foster*...
    What to do? keep my 1FT and hope Guiata will play?

    1. Mozumbus
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What happened to Guita?

      1. Malinwa
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Injury rumours?

        1. Mozumbus
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I see. Thanks.
          I'd use the FT in your case.

  12. Eze Really?
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Zophar from FPL Wire must be the worst advertising reader on the planet (smile)

  13. ScoutHelp
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts please.

    1. Mbeumo to Foden/Bernardo for -4
    2. Mbeumo - KDB punt for -4
    3. Hold and start Lamptey (Wolves)

    1. HonestBlatter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1. to Bilva

      1. ScoutHelp
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  14. adr3nalin
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    How likely do we think it is for Son to play on Thursday?

  15. FITZ-G
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hello all,
    2FT
    Raph——> Jota? Would have to downgrade Hwang to 4.4 striker though.

  16. boroie
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone fancy giving me a probability on these 2 games being on…

    A - Leicester v Tottenham (Thurs)
    B - Man Utd v Brighton (Sat)

  17. Jaok
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A: Reguilon -> Coufal
    B: Reguilon -> Targett
    C: Hold

    1. Jaok
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      FT

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    3. Kun Tozser
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      c

  18. Silecro
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is pukki one of the norwich cases?

  19. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Ronaldo to Antonio it is then. No point benching and hoping they will play next GW.

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Massive 2pts coming!

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Better than zero!

      2. HonestBlatter
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Always scores against Arsenal

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Scored 1 in 9 fixtures

          Did get 4 yellow cards though

  20. The Mandalorian
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Man United does not have a Covid outbreak. Its a small number of staff and players. They could easily field a team but cancelled as a matter of precaution only.
    United may have set a dangerous precedent to get games cancelled.

    1. The Mandalorian
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Apparently they will decide today whether they can face Brighton.
      The players were told yesterday 4pm about the Brentford cancellation but we didn't get the news until 11pm.

  21. Heiro
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hi all,

    I have 11 playing if Broja and Livra turn up.

    A: Broja to Hwang
    B: Broja to King
    C: Save?

    Or upgrade Livramento to someone for 5m?

    Thanks guys

  22. COLLIN QUANER
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Think I'll be holding off with the Ronaldo > Antonio move. 2 free transfers for this weekend could be very useful

  23. vova
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Toney to

    A) King
    B) Pukki

    Have Dennis

  24. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez Foster
    TAA Cancelo James Livra White
    Salah Saka Gallaghar Foden Canos
    Ronaldo Watkins Scarlett

    2 FTs 0.4 ITB.

    A) Ronaldo + Canos > Antonio + Jota
    B) Canos + Sanchez > Gilmour + Ramsdale
    C) Canos + Scarlett > Gilmour + Dennis/King
    D) Ronaldo + Canos > Mané + King

  25. SpaceCadet
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Pick 2 to get in

    A. Watkins
    B. Antonio
    C. Dennis
    D. Pukki

    1. KrisMCFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A b

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Ab

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B and D

  26. KrisMCFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Where have all these Sanchez rumours come from?

  27. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Get one
    A) King
    B) Pukki

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. FredUpAlready
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  28. lordkippe
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I need to take a 16 point hit to field 11 players. Is it worth just doing it ? Or should I consider the FH?

  29. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Gundo owners? Has he any chance of playing at all?

    Could do Ronaldo+Normann to Watkins and Foden -4 then at weekend swap Gundo/Foden for Bowen then Watkins back to Ronaldo Boxing Day 🙂

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      That sounds like hard work. I'm just keeping him and hoping.

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, don't want Ronaldo on the bench for two weeks though 🙂

  30. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A) Alonso, Mount, Dennis
    B) Cash, Gallagher, Antonio

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B with Dennis