Pro Pundits

How I’m planning to navigate a chaotic Gameweek 17 and beyond

Pro Pundits 29

Wow.

Well, it’s a bit of a mess, isn’t it? With COVID-19 once again throwing the festive schedule into disarray, I just want to start this article by saying that I hope anyone who is suffering or knows someone suffering from this horrible virus makes a swift recovery. Look after yourselves and each other.

Fantasy Football of course provides a welcome distraction from everything that’s going on, and while things are in such a state of turmoil, knowing what to do with your team can cause extra undue stress. Well, I’m in the same boat.

I had my transfer planned this week, a nice and easy move of Raphinha (£6.6m) to Bernardo Silva (£7.7m). Not the most exciting, but a solid move to tap into Manchester City’s favourable two games. However, United’s postponement means I am now without Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m) and Bryan Mbeumo (£5.5m), João Cancelo (£6.8m) is suspended and Tino Livramento (£4.5m) is a doubt. Arsenal also played well without Emile Smith Rowe (£6.0m) and I’m a bit worried that Mikel Arteta names an unchanged side for their London derby clash tomorrow night.

Above: My current team for Gameweek 17, no transfers used

Identifying the weak links

The strategy I normally advise others when faced with predicaments such as these is to identify the weak links in your side and work from there.

For example, selling Cancelo or Ronaldo may seem logical given that we know they won’t be playing in Gameweek 17, but I know I’ll want them back going forward and in the case of Cancelo, I’ll be losing out on £0.4m, making it very hard to get him back. Ruben Dias (£6.1m) was a consideration, but while it may pay off this week, I think it will weaken my squad with Cancelo still offering great value in the weeks and months ahead.

Looking at my team, the obvious weak link is Ben Johnson (£4.0m), whose injury couldn’t have come at a worse time for him, having just got a foothold in the West Ham side, or myself, who just bought him into my team as a cheap substitute option. Livramento, and Southampton, have also gone off the boil lately and with a very mixed run of fixtures to come (cry, BRE, whu, TOT, NEW) and a slight injury concern, this may be a good time to cash in and sell.

In midfield, I have two players who probably wouldn’t form part of my optimal squad going forward. Mbeumo and Raphinha have been doing well for me in the last few weeks, and selling them would be a fairly reluctant move, but it may need to be done to get a better team out for Gameweek 17. Mbeumo’s Gameweek 18 and 19 games look half-decent (sou, bri) whereas Raphinha’s are the opposite, with three very tricky fixtures on the horizon (mci, ARS, liv). But, of course, Raphinha has a game this week whereas Mbeumo doesn’t. Selling Raphinha when he is one of my most guaranteed starters feels a bit… wrong. But it’s my easiest route into the Man City midfield (more on this below).

I was tempted to include Smith Rowe in my potential transfers out, but I do believe he is part of Arsenal’s strongest line-up and has been a great asset for me so far this season. With Leeds and Norwich following West Ham, he’s an easy hold for me.

Looking at this logically, then, upgrading Johnson is the most sensible move for me, ensuring a better bench for the games to come.

Identifying targets

Az One half of the FPL BlackBox YouTube series with Mark Sutherns.Former Membership Strategy Manager for FFS  Follow them on Twitter

1,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one please:

    A) Play Livra
    B) Antonio to Ronaldo for free

    1. Feanor
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Don't get Ronaldo. His game is postponed.

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Meant Antonio for Ronaldo for free. Sorry!

  2. cruzex
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    who is thinking to sell ronaldo.............lacazzete is THE MAN-!!!!!

    1. Farteta
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      He was dire last game....wouldn't touch with a barge pole

  3. Drogba Legend
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Luckily had a great week. Back up to 33k OR. Help appreciated. Can field 11 with Brownhill without using a FT.

    Ramsdale
    TAA - Rudiger - James - Livra
    Salah - Raph - Saka - Jota - Brownhill
    Dennis

    4.0 - Ronaldo** - Toney** - Cancelo**

    A) Raph > Bowen
    B) Save FT
    C) Raph + Saka > Bilva + 5.5 mid
    D) Something else

  4. marcus2704
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best striker for a one-week punt?

    1. ResultatFar
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Laca!

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Dennis

    3. CONNERS
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Possibly Lukaku if he starts.

  5. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez
    TAA James Reguilon*
    Salah Jota Raphinha Gilmour
    King Antonio Ronaldo*

    Steele, Mbuemo*, Cancelo*, Omobamidele*

    A) Ronaldo, Mbuemo -> Watkins, Foden, next week Gilmour -> Bowen

    B) WC to
    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cash
    Salah Jota Foden Bowen Gallagher
    King Watkins

    Gunnarsson Antonio Ait-Nouri Cancelo*

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      11 starters in A if Regs plays this week, although 2 are Gilmour and Raphinha who I'm not expecting much from. Fairly well set up for next GW though with Rap and Regs on the bench

      1. ResultatFar
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I also own Raph, I feel like keeping also for the tough fixtures. But hey, if not using your first WC now, then when?

  6. Teror
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Brownhill > Foden

    B. Livra > Coufal

    B. Save FT

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  7. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez
    TAA, James, Alonso, Livramneto
    Salah, Jota, Bernardo, ESR
    Antonio, Dennis
    (Bissouma)
    (Also got DDG, Cancelo, and Ronaldo on the bench!)
    0.0m in the bank

    Anything worthy of a FT?
    Maybe Livra to B Williams?
    Or ESR to somebody more sure of a start?

    ???

  8. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    There hasn't been a Covid-19 outbreak at Chelsea. Understand latest round of testing only returned negative results. @AdamNewson @Football_LDN

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      As a James owner that's a relief, looking forward to his latest zero point contribution

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Every 0 helps

      2. Red Red Robins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I kind of think he'll be rested anyway, no idea why but wouldnt surprise me

  9. KneejerkJoe
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Got zero bench, if more games gets cancelled or one of my players cant play for some reason, Im down to 10 men.

    Would you do Ronaldo to Watkins for free, and bench White, or just save?

    1ft, 0,5m itb.

    Ramsdale
    Alonso James White TAA
    Odegaard Salah Jota Foden Bilva
    Dennis
    .....Foster Ronaldo* Cancelo* Locadia*

    (If I save I probably get Bowen and Coufal next week.)

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      save

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      There'll be teams down to 7 or 8 players, so don't worry save that FT it will come really handy during these chaotic times

      1. KneejerkJoe
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks!

    3. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Save

  10. No Kane No Gain
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Has Foden been looking good recently?! Will he make up the -4 on Raphinha over 2 weeks?!

    1. Teror
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes!!!!

    2. Pacer.
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely no guarantee of that when you're comparing a bit part player against a player a team revolves around

    3. No Totti No Party
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Usually when city have games midweek everyone is rotated upfront

  11. TheYogaDaddy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    Livramento* TAA James (Duffy) (Cancelo)
    Salah (C) Jota Raphinha Mbuemo*(Brownhill)
    CR7* King Antonio

    0 ft, 0.3 itb

    What do I do here?

    a. Ronaldo and Mbuemo out for Watkins and B. Silva/Foden (-4)
    b. Mbuemo out for mid under 5.8 and play Brownhill instead of Ronaldo
    c. Something else?

  12. El_Gigante
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any chance Amartey might play this GW?

  13. Rbyrne95
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Have Raph playing now instead of Dalot.

    Play Raph or risk transferring Wilson in for Watkins? -4

  14. Miguel Sanchez
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any chance of some City team news leaks before the deadline?

  15. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    any love for Tierney? I need to replace Johnson and would have 4.8M to spend. Tierney / Spurs def's viable options for a stronger bench

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Best Arsenal defender.

  16. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What's the news on Guaita? Need to get a keeper for Foster that's going to play and the fixtures aren't bad. DDG my other keeper.

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The fixtures aren't bad, but the prospects aren't good either. I'd save the cash and get Bachmann

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Good shout. Thanks.

  17. BS03
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    esr -> gallagher or save ft? (have benteke)

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'd save. Good week to roll FT

  18. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of starting this week?

    a. Livra
    b. ESR

  19. Feanor
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    My team this week

    Guaita (DDG)
    James, TAA, Livra, Williams (Cancelo)
    Salah (C), Jota, Bowen, Gallagher (Sissoko)
    Antionion, Dennis (Ronaldo)

  20. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Surely managers should have to declare who has COVID in the same way they can’t just rock up and say ‘we have 5 or 6 players out injured’

    1. Bennerman
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No, patient confidentiality as it is private medical information. I think that's the case.

      Bit more important than people's fantasy teams/deadlines, in fairness.

      1. Bennerman
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        And they can (and frequently do) say 'we have three players injured' or whatever the figure is, they're not under obligation as such to name them, I don't believe.

      2. Ginkapo FPL
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Patient confidentiality applies to broken bones as well.

        1. Bennerman
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          What are you saying here, managers should be impelled to name individuals infected with Covid?

    2. Ginkapo FPL
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Why cant they? No one is forcing them to list out their injuries

    3. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Not so. They are not allowed. That’s personal medical data and they can only release if the player gives express permission for them to do so.

      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Understood, fair enough

  21. Taribo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Nothing on the bench so hoping for 11 starters. GTG (roll) or use a FT?

    Sanchez
    TAA James Alonso White
    Salah Bilva Jota Bowen ESR
    King

    Steele Ronaldo* Cancelo* Davis

  22. MikeS
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is Sanchez (Brighton) a doubt, I remember some on here saying he was rumoured to have covid?

    If that is the case probably not me doing ddg to ramsdale, as Steele is on my bench and could play if Sanchez out?

  23. Lucky Z
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Antonio Conte also has Cristian Romero's injury to worry about, but Sergio Reguilon is expected to shake off a knock sustained in the 3-0 win over Norwich City earlier this month.

    Source: Sportsmole

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No quotes, no news

  24. Fuddled FC
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    a) Ron & D. Luiz > Watkins & Son (-4)
    b) Ron & D. Luiz > Watkins & B.Silva (-4)
    c) Ron > Watkins Play D. Luiz

    1. Fuddled FC
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      d) Ron & Broja > Watkins & King/Dennis (-4)

  25. Laalman
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    How likely are these to start this gw?

    A:Foden

    B:Sterling

    C:KDB

  26. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What makes United so special that they can postpone the game? They clearly had enough players to play. And every club has cases amongst their staff now.

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      How do you know how many players got it?

    2. thegaffer82
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The outbreak is just starting at Utd.

      I know it feels good to bash the ‘rich’ club and rail against the authorities, but remember this virus takes several days to show on tests.
      So forcing them to play could mean that there are players on the field who have Covid potentially spreading it to other teams.
      It first needs to be contained by separating the players, find out for sure who has it and who doesn’t (which will take days)… then we’ll know how many players are available for selection. They can train and prepare properly for upcoming matches then…

      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Fair point, but what makes it different to, say, Villa, who have several cases too amongst players and staff.

  27. Atimis
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which one:

    1) Raph
    2) Foden/BSilva -4

    Want City mid next week anway.

  28. thegaffer82
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I never imagined I may be selling DDG after bringing him in for a 10pter last week, but here we are.
    I already transferred out Jimi for Dennis as I have Cancelo out & Liv + Broja both flagged, so it was an easy choice for my FT.
    I asked on here what people thought of DDG to Ramsdale & a few replied saying it’s not worth a hit.
    But actually, having thought about it, I think those people are wrong.
    Worst case scenario is Ramsdale gets 2 points & DDG is back by the weekend leaving me down 2 points.
    But, in reality, that scenario is by no means nailed on. No guarantees Utd will play at the weekend, in which case the worst case scenario becomes Ramsdale gets 2 x 2pters and I break even over the 2GW’s. But if Ramsdale gets even one cleanie, or in the best case scenario gets 2 cleanies as well as some bonus & save points (which is becoming common for him) then we are talking close to a 15+ Point swing there.
    So for a meagre -4, you give yourself a chance of bigger points. Plus Ramsdale looks a great option going forward anyway. So it’s a no-brainer for me & I’ll be pulling the trigger before deadline.

    Hope my thinking aloud helps anyone in the same boat

  29. Lucky Z
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Worth to use FT on Livramento => White

    1. Lucky Z
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      ?

  30. One More Hit
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Are there currently any playing 4.0m defenders? Trying to ensure I get 10 players out, Johnson is the obvious sell

    1. how now brown cow
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Williams maybe?

      1. One More Hit
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yep I think him and DDG to Ramsdale for a -4 might just cancel out the hit