Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. VFORVANDETA
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Looking good?

    DDG

    Mustafi Christ Robertson

    Mahrez Son Willian Lingard

    Kane© Auba Vardy

    Hen Gross Tarkowski Chilwell

    1. Magic Box
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Good although Robertson not likely to start.

      1. VFORVANDETA
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Tarkowski or Chilwell will play.Thanks

    2. Bragazeti
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I'd play Gross and bench Lingard

    3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Gtg

      1. FPL-(VAR)dy
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Gross for Lingard

    4. VFORVANDETA
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks all

  2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Any chance Kun plays today? Got him in my draft team...

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No

      1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        🙁 can’t really sell either

  3. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Alli plays 3 in next gw , whereas Salah plays probably only 1

    Tempting !!!!

    1. Jaok
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      agree..

    2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I’m switching.

    3. Cok3y5murf
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Triple gameweek?

      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        *next 2 GW 😀

    4. VS10_
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yep, the only problem for me is that he would be my third Spurs and wouldn't be able to get Kane easily.

    5. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Thinking the same, purely as it will cover me not having Kane

  4. Magic Box
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Aubameyang or Eriksen (c) this week?

    Fancy the former but Spurs could absolutely walk over Stoke and Eriksen looked great against Chelsea...

    1. VFORVANDETA
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Kane

    2. Stoic
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Auba. Don't complicate it mate.

  5. LaLaLand
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Will Lukaku drop

  6. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Milo or Ibe...on a WC this GW.

    Play ddg or pope?

    1. Dan United
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I've gone Ibe.

      Pope I reckon although DDG could get lots of save points

  7. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    More points over next few games

    1. Christensen + Hazard + 6 pts
    2. Alonso + Alli

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      2

  8. Rebeltactics
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Just played the WC to change my FF life! Any last changes?

    Pope
    Maguire, Davies, Valencia
    Albrighton, Son, Mahrez, David Silva
    (C) Kane, (vc) Aubameyang, Barnes

    Subs Naughton, Milivojnvic, Long

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I like it!

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Gtg

    3. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Nice, Who's your 2nd Keeper? Pope could lose his place to Heaton soon

  9. Yozzer
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Stupid question but how do i find Kennedy in the player comparison section ?

    Also who to start

    A Will Hughes ( Bur H)
    B Kennedy ( leic A)

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Kenedy*
      He has some weird name l

      1. Yozzer
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Nascimento Nunez or somthing ....Cheers whizz probably help if I spell it right too

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Lol

  10. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    If you had no FH would you keep Firmino and Salah?

    1. Yozzer
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Salah yes
      Bobby no

      1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I agree but I can’t afford anyone decent (already have vardy and auba)

    2. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    3. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I've sold them both. I think it's ok if you still have WC

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        No WC unfortunately

    4. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Why with FH?
      Only wanting Salah for GW35?

  11. 13allack
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morning mates!
    Need extra thoughts regarding my WC team

    Lloris Ryan
    Smalling Morgan Dunk Hoorn (Lowton)
    Salah Mahrez Willian (Groß) Milivojevic
    Kane Aubameyang (Vardy)
    0.9 ITB to do Auba -> Lukaku before DGW34

    Alternative plan is to get Alonso, Lingard, Murray instead of Lowton, Groß, Vardy

    Much appreciated

  12. The Tinkerman
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    With all the Salah chat City have been neglected a bit. Could they now play a 2nd string side vs. United?

    If so, DDG over Ryan this GW after all?

    1. thomashl
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      My thoughts exactly... have smalling as well, so have the option to play Ryan and Smalling to get a piece of each cleanie. However, DDG might rack up saves like a madman, hmmm

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        A more sensible move may be to go out to smash United and win the league, then use that confidence for momentum into the Pool game. High risk strategies both.

      2. Js31
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Similar to you mate I've gone DDG & Dunk. Bailly on bench.

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely play ddg

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I have Dunk, so I’m inclined to play Dunk and DDG

    3. Yozzer
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      https://mobile.twitter.com/MCFCBaller/status/982367060427755520

      This guy is a reliable source

      1. Yozzer
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Sounds like full strength if true . Could be wrong

  13. thomashl
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Start

    A) Ryan & Smalling
    B) DDG & Lowton
    C) Ryan & Lowton
    D) DDG & Smalling

    Alonso Morgan
    Son Mahrez Gross Willian
    Auba Vardy Barnes

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

  14. lumaunited
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Lukaku price did not fall.
    Why?
    Fplstatistics source -103,4!!!

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      WC effect

    2. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      wont drop now as many will sell Auba for Lukaku DGW next week................

  15. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    I have no FH, if I did i’d be selling salah.

    have to bet on him starting 34/35 and it’s making me nervous, especially because he could easily become hazard or alli/Eriksen

    I just wouldn’t be able to get him back!

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I have FH and not selling.

      No way I would be able to get him back in easily!

      1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        What will you do if LFC get through to the semi of CL ?? surely Salah PL minutes will be limited especially if he carries this current injury ?? They have top 4 sorted and look who they will have to play next in the CL the big three ???

        1. Bubbles1985
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          No other midfielders in that price bracket are tempting enough.
          Maybe if Alli performs this week!

  16. Weeb Kakashi
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Is Hazard a better captaincy option then Aubamayeng?

    Aubamayeng was relatively quiet last game and was lucky enough

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      IMO yes

    2. Stoic
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Auba (c) Hazard (vc) for me.

  17. The Cherry Picker
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Captain
    A. Son
    B. Alli
    C. Mahrez
    D. Vardy

    Thanks

    1. VFORVANDETA
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Mixed responses, why either?

  18. PL Ball
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Would you play Smalling in place of any of these players:

    A) Lowton (Wat A)
    B) Morgan (New H)
    C) Duffy (Hud H)
    D) Kiko (Bur H)

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Stoic
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Bench Smalling

    2. FootballFanatic365
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      morgan

  19. NoName
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Start Lingard or Ibe?

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      L

      1. NoName
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Ibe

  20. VFORVANDETA
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Gross or Lingard?

    1. SUPER 11
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Gross

    2. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      G

  21. FootballFanatic365
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Hello!

    GTG?

    ryan(ddg)
    Lowton_Monreal_Alonso (Smalling_Tarkwski)
    Salah_Son_Silva_Mahrez (Kenedy)
    Barnes_Vardy_Auba(c)

    1. Thiga
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Underscores are for Instagram handles, not showing us your team haha 😆
      GTG!

  22. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Salah + Firmino to Alli + Vardy done for -4.

    No FH and loss of £1.4m 😎

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      how many will you field gw35? or do you still have WC?

      i’m so unsure what to do. in my experience this season might be best for me to save and see what happens next week

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        WC in 35

    2. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Points over pounds

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Sometimes they go hand in hand

  23. SUPER 11
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Will Pogba play in both games in DGW 34?

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Likely

  24. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    On last minute WC, any suggestions?

    Ryan
    Alonso Christensen Vertonghen
    Mahrez Son Willian Milivojevic
    Kane Aubameyang(>Luk34) Barnes

    (DDG Chilwell Lowton Lingard)

    1. NoName
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Captain?

    2. NoName
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Looks solid, btw.

    3. SUPER 11
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Maguire for Vertonghen and Have Lloris

  25. Schwarzer
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Is Vertonghen the most nailed on Spurs defender? Cheers

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Think so yes

    2. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    3. The Cherry Picker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    4. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, but think id rather davies for attacking tgreat

      1. Vlad Tepes
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        ofc but he may not play both games in a double so..

    5. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yep

      1. Schwarzer
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks all!

  26. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Benching DDG looks strange 😀

  27. MikeRyko
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all

    Thoughts on these two conundrums;

    a) Play Salah or Kenedy – worried about a Salah 1 pointer of the bench or is it worth the risk

    b) Pick two from Morgan, Fernandez and Tarkowski

    Thanks

  28. John78
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Lingard or Barnes?

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I wonder the same 🙂

  29. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Vardy or Mahrez?

  30. Lucky Z
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    A) Mahrez
    B) Auba

    For captaincy? Auba is an obvious choice, but Mahrez has very good stats at home, tempting.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A