Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Will Lukaku drop before next week. More likely to rise imo?

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Rise

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Idm if he does, saves me some extra cash

    3. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No. More likely to rise

    4. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah will rise now.

      1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Have to squeeze another .1 on WC then to do Auba -- Lukaku next week

    5. Red Rock
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Should start rising, depends whether he does anything - if Kane and Auba go crazy i am sure the majority of players will edge towards Kane

  2. Kasparov
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    WC Team, with FH on 35:

    de Gea Ryan
    Davies Morgan Tarkowski Chilwell Smalling
    Mahrez Fraser Kante Young Salah
    Aubameyang Kane Barnes

    G2G? Any possible problems?

    1. The_FF_King
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure I’m keen on Kante and Young in midfield. With Salah injured your midfield looks very weak

      1. Kasparov
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks. I agree it's weak.

        I've had Salah for so long I can't sell him and get him back without losing £0.5, and I'm already bled on team value despite my rank. Young and Kante are more picks for bench boost on next week's DGW. With £0.2 ITB, I can't find anyone better for the next couple of weeks. I also don't see any possible downgrades to improve. I could get 2 6s

        I'll probably be playing the following this week:

        Ryan (DDG)
        Davies, Morgan, Chilwell, Tarkowski (Smalling)
        Mahrez, Fraser Kante (Salah, Young)
        Auba Kane Barnes

        And everyone the next week with bench boost.

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A midfield with Fraser, Kante, Young has some definite problems..

    3. Trane84
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      You've only got two decent mids and one of them is injured.

    4. Red Rock
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      How poor is your Team Value?

      That Midfield is worrying, Smalling also not guaranteed to play

      1. Kasparov
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Only £99.5. Don't play the market, but usually end up about £103+ by the end of the season. For some reason that's not happened this season.

    5. The_FF_King
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I think you have to sacrifice Kane. Maybe downgrade to Vardy and boast your midfield with Son/Alli

  3. Dannyb
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    gtg?
    Ddg (Ryan)
    Alonso Christensen Dunk (Tark Morgan)
    Sanchez Mahrez(c) Willian Gro€ (Gudm)
    Lukaku Auba Barnes

    1. Kasparov
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Looks very good. You must have some team value!

      Planning to get Kane at all?

    2. Nang
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Looks like you're confused.

    3. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Why?

      1. Nang
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly.

  4. Aubaaaaa
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Bench 1this gw:
    A. Young vs city away
    B. Kenedy vs lei away

  5. Horcmen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Morgan (NEW) or Vertonghen (sto)?
    I'm not sure. Other DFs Mustafi + Alonso.

    1. Eldon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I plan on playing Davies over Morgan

    2. Rostah
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Fellow Morgan owner but this isn’t even close for me. Just look at the respective teams defensive records this season

    3. Naboo
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Vert easy

    4. Horcmen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks guys.

  6. Eldon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you play, Ibe or Morgan?

    1. Lukakwho
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Both

  7. Syd.
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Neil Warnock talking about a lack of class

    The man wouldn't know what it was if it hit him on the head 10 times

    1. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      But but British manners?

      1. Syd.
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        That man also doesn't know what manners are

        1. Zilla
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Have you seen where he told Nuno to **** off when he wanted to shake hands? And he came after that talking about disgraceful actions.. lol.

    2. Pasqualinho
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      He wouldn't know a lack of class? I'd have thought him an expert.

  8. twaid
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Dunk, Barnes or Lukaku?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      The order you have is the right one

  9. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    play DDG or Hennessy peeps?

    1. Eldon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      DDG

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        This

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      1. Man City have only failed to score in four games all season. Three of those were away from home.

      CPL away in the PL (0-0)
      Wigan away in the FA Cup (1-0)
      Wolves home in the EFL Cup (0-0) - played a weak team in this game
      Liverpool away in the CL (3-0)

      1. Red Rock
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        This is City at home though, you'd expect them to get something against City - Derby day and all, i know Jose will park the bus but you should expect City to break them even with a B team

      2. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        so your saying play Hennessy then?

        1. Red Rock
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Is tricky, Palace have a decent fixture but Bournemouth are so unpredictable - its not quite the same as Ryan vs Hud.

          I would play it safe with DDG just due to Overall Ownership

  10. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Hands up who still owns Salah!!

    1. ooooo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      yes but benching

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        yes but benching also!

    2. Firmy
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      \0/ \0/

    3. Naboo
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      O/

    4. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. I will keep him in and have Barnes as first sub. Don’t see the point in benching unless you think he’s coming on for a 15 min cameo. But why would he?

    5. Konig Luther
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      yes

    6. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Gone!

    7. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yep. I’m benching. I also have my FH and BB chips

  11. Tommo1888
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Morgan or Lowton over Linguard??

  12. Firmy
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    G2G With my team? Thanks in advance and good luck.

    De Gea
    Duffy Otamendi Morgan
    Arnautovic Grob Willian Salah??
    Kane(V.C) Vardy Aubameyang(C)

    Subs-Elliott-Millivojevic-Dummett-Smalling

    Salah and Otamendi are my questionable transfers.

  13. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play 2

    a) Lowton
    b) Morgan
    c) Chirwell
    d) Kiko

  14. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Gamble on Salah > Sanchez on WC?

    Will mean no Lukaku next week though...

    1. BERGKOP
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      What's your rank? I would for a laugh if you're outside the top 50K

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        And if I'm just inside...?

  15. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Salah to?

    1. Alli
    2. Eriksen

    1. Rust Cohle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Alli

  16. Trane84
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed

    Which 2 of the following should I start today?

    Kiko / Chilwell / Barnes

  17. Rust Cohle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Mili or Lingard for GW33? Thanks.

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Mili

  18. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Mark given up on writing Preambles?

    1. *Reformed-Character*
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Wow you literally hang on his words haha

      F5 F5 F5

    2. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I enjoy Mark’s preamble too. I don’t base my team on it but it’s a good read.

  19. Ask Yourself
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Really don’t fancy Auba. Will mahrez give a **** today?

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Depends what letters the *s represent.

      1. the axolotl
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I'm hoping virtuoso display but there doesn't seem enough stars.

    2. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      He has in every game since his strop so I’d guess so.

  20. #FPLBhuna
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    What’s to say Salah won’t come on late and score a brace when needed?

    1. *Reformed-Character*
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Not a chance

      1. Naboo
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Seller?

    2. Naboo
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Nothing. In fact it's what I'm expecting

      1. Naboo
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Keeper?

    3. Konig Luther
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      he will not come on.

    4. Salarrivederci
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      That's your heart and not your brain. As a fpl manager you need to be the freakin iceman 😉 ! Say your farewells 😉

    5. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I’d be amazed. If Liverpool are genuinely concerned he won’t be in the squad. And even if he is, why would they risk him with the City game next week? Top 4 is wrapped up. Fans may care about derbies, coaches are more pragmatic.

  21. Tinchy770
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Eriksen or Alli?

    1. Michelle Davin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Ali

  22. Pique Blinder
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Worth going Otamendi -> Christensen for a hit?

    Need the cash to get Kaku or Kane next week.

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Why don’t you keep a transfer until next week? United’s attacking ambitions are likely to be zero and maybe City need a set piece to score.

  23. Gangster Panda
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Lloris (sto) or Ryan (HUD) ?

    1. Pique Blinder
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Lloris

    2. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Ryan

  24. DR0GBA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    A) Lukaku, Alli, Son
    B) Kane, Son, Lingard

    (for GW34)

    1. Konig Luther
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

  25. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Pick 2 to play:

    A. Morgan
    B. Dunk
    C. Barnes

    Thanks guys!

  26. Sweetpea
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Why is noone buying Eriksen?

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Not explosive, plus Kane uses up Spurs place + money

    2. Rostah
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Just brought him in for Mkhi this morning, felt good!

    3. Tasty Jerk
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Because we have had him all season?

    4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I suckered myself into buying Son. I regret that, now.

      1. Zilla
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        May I ask why you regret someone who scored 4 goals and got an assist in 3 games?

        1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          This

    5. Syd.
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Kane

    6. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Alli seems to be on one of his runs

  27. Red Rock
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Ben Davies or Vertonghen?

    Was in the same predicament end of last season where there was always the fear of Rose playing but he never did, missed out on a few goals/assists.

    1. Dokdok666
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I'm there with you my dude.

      Vert= 100% nailed, lower ceiling.
      Bavies= prone to rotation, especially with the cup looming. Highest ceiling...

      someone tell me what to do!

      1. Rust Cohle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Bavies.

      2. Red Rock
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Im sticking with Davies just because Vert is such a dull pick, and because i missed out last year

  28. HD7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    A or B Guys?

    Team:

    De Gea Ryan
    Alonso Baily Morgan Lowton Tark

    Salah* Mahrez Gudmundson Son
    Willian
    Auba Murray Vardy

    A)
    GW 34 Auba to Kaku
    GW 36 Kaku to Kane

    B) GW 33 Salah Murray to Kennedy Kane (-8)

    GW 34: Auba Gudm to Kaku Cork (-8)

    1. tractorjess
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      So basically to do Vardy --> Kane this gw or not? I'm currently on yes

      1. Lukakwho
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Yes

  29. Wednesday1
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Best captain this week?
    A) Aubameyang
    B) Vardy
    C) Alli
    D) Mane

    Thanks

    1. ooooo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      a

    2. Sigurd's Son
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Auba

  30. Richd
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Please let Gudmunson make the DGW