Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Lacazette can match Aubameyang output

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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3,777 Comments Post a Comment
  1. AriseSirGiggsy
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Are Jota's minutes threatened by Traore?

    1. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      More likely Costa and Cavaleiro's are

    2. OldBenKenobi
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      opposite side. if anything it will likely help Jota as Traore will run at defenders and open up space for him

    3. FPL Joker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No

  2. OldBenKenobi
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I found a way to defeat Rotation's Alter Ego via a loop hole 😉

    Please rate my team over on the RMT article:

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/?hc_page=41&hc_sort_by=comment_date#hc_comment_18557112

    (Sorry Rotation's Alter Ego I couldnt resist) 😆

    1. Dakers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Clever

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I mean, he's not wrong....

      I don't know what to do with myself now 🙁

      1. Chockky
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        you can go to Rate his Team 😉

        1. Rotation's Alter Ego
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          I already did 😉

  3. JWilson3
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who is the best defender for 5M? On Bertrand just now

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      on bertrand too, tempted by taa but worries about rotation

    2. Dakers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      BUR

    3. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Either of TAA or Betrand. TAA probably edges it given their 7 clean sheets towards end of season

    4. FPL Joker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      TAA if you have a decent player to come off the beck when Clyne plays.
      Digne will take Baines place and looks decent.
      Bertrand is solid by Southampton have been woeful in defense in pre season.

    5. OldBenKenobi
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      On Mee currently unless something comes out in the pressers

    6. FPL_ANT
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sakho

    7. Ask Yourself
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Fredericks

  4. XABI 15
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Hi All bottomed on previous page. Which option would you rather have?

    1) King Austin Mcdonald
    2) King Fraser 5.0 (fwd)
    3) King Cairney Ings

    1. FPL Joker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      3

  5. MFPL
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A) Robertson & 4.5m defender (who?)

    B) TAA & Shaw + 0.5m

    1. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Plenty of decent choices at 4.5m for first few games until starting line-ups become clear.

      Daniels, Kabasele, Boly, Cedric, among others

    2. FPL Joker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

  6. McGowan
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A) Mane, Eriksen and King
    OR
    B) Mahrez, Lucas Moura and Firmino

    1. RoyaleBlue
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      100 perecent A

    2. FPL Joker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A because of nailedness

  7. Saurabh.gupta
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Last question for you all from me.
    A. Bavies and fraser
    B. Bednarek and bilva?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      b but awb/peltier

      1. Saurabh.gupta
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I already have them both 🙂

  8. RoyaleBlue
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Can someone give me a run down of why Zaha is so popular? Trying to decide between him and Tosun.

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He's playing up top with Tekkers

  9. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best 4.5 fodder for midfield moved to Gunnarson from Stephens right?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Wondering this myself, but I would guess so

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        What are the thoughts on McDonald in Fulham?

        1. Andy_Social
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Will lose his place to the TDD last-minute signing.

    2. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cardiff have a few options in CM now so Gunnar not so nailed imo

  10. Paul Psychic Octopus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone have views on how Fulham's spate of signings on deadline day will affect Cairney's game time?

    1. XABI 15
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No change. Captain and leader

    2. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Despite all the strengthening in depth, I didn't see anyone who might challenge Cairney's position. I think it's all good for his prospects.

  11. Indalo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Was so set on DDG but now I'm lost confidence in United's defensive capabilities, ugh.

    1. slamdunk
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Same,maybe a wait and see to start with.

    2. Garlana
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Same, but i feel like I'm being pulled in so I have a player playing tonight.

    3. AriseSirGiggsy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      lol
      why?

      1. Indalo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Ageing full backs and centre backs who I don't particularly rate.

        1. AriseSirGiggsy
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          same defence that got loads of cleanies last season?

    4. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      they will be better than last season.

  12. John Colby (C)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which of Fulham's midfielders are you bringing in- Sess or Seri?

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Schuy

    2. XABI 15
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sess a better attacking option than Seri

      1. John Colby (C)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers lads

    3. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cairney.

  13. Firmino
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Pickford or Patricio as set and forget? Allows me to do one of 4mil defender (have three) to Tomkins.

    1. Firmino
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Patricio allows

    2. Dakers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Pat

  14. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Morning chaps!!

    EXCITED TO GET THE SEASON GOING!! CAAAAAMMAAANN!!

    1. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      not long till first game!!

  15. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Game just passed the 4.0m players mark.

    Last year was 5.8m though...

    No way they’re going to get 1.8m signups in the next 9 hours?!

    Or does this hint at a potentially catastrophic bottleneck & server crash pre-deadline!

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      In the time it took to type this there were 4,000 signups, from 4,012k to 4,016k lol

    2. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      There will be 6m plus by May

    3. Dakers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Lots of noobs

    4. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Loads bundled in after GW1 last year.

    5. Dirty Harry
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      People can still sign up after the deadline. Thankfully the change in weekly prizes will take away the 1000s of entries trying to solely win the prize

    6. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      people missing the Friday deadline.

      puuurfect.

  16. Miami Monkey
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Patricio / 4.0
    Laporte / TAA / Shaw / Peltier / W-B
    Salah / Mane / Bilva / Lucas Moura / Stephens
    Aguero / Lacazette / Austin

    Lucas to a 6.5 to upgrade either Peltier or 4.0 gk? Hart instead of Patricio? David Luiz instead of Laporte? Is Laporte more nailed than Stones? Any better 4.5m mids?

    Thanks

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      RMT --> RMT article + 0.5m itb

      Thank you 🙂

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

  17. adased
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    is david luiz nailed

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      for now maybe..

    2. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      yeh

  18. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    a vvd bertrand (mendy wb peltier)
    or
    b taa b davies (mendy wb peltier)

    is b too much rotation risk ? thanks

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      one more ? thanks

  19. slamdunk
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which pairning to go for?

    A-King and Sanchez
    B-Zaha and Eriksen

    Many thanks

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      a for me

      1. slamdunk
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thankyou..Sanchez is an easy way to KDB etc at some point with only 1 transfer.City mid a lottery and Spurs team missing a few.

    2. Willllsonnn!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      King and Erik for me

    3. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  20. the egyptian king
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    RMT

    Foster
    Mendy - Bailly - Roberton
    BSilva - Mane - Salah - Jota
    Zaha - Aguero - King

    Hennessy - AWB - Stephens - Bednarek

    1. BadgersBoys
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Rotations Alter Ego will.

    2. XABI 15
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      very nice - g2g

  21. Andrew
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A. Fab and 3 x £6m defenders
    B. DDG and 2 x £6m defenders

    1. GE
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Garlana
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Who are the 3 6m defenders? Robertson or vvd and Mendy? Who else?

  22. Gabbiadini
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Ederson and Jota
    or.
    Fabianski and Bsilva?

    1. Chrisirwin01
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Ederson and Jota. Jota is a punt, but Ederson should provide a steady income to offset the punt.

  23. GE
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    1) Luiz and Bilva
    2) Tomkins and Mahrez

    1. GE
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sorry:
      1) Luiz, Bilva and Zaha
      2) Tomkins, Mahrez and King

  24. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Godd to go ... bench lineup correct - thanks

    De Gea
    Mendy, VVD, B Davies, Bailly
    Salah – Eriksen – B Silva
    Arnautovic, Mitrovic, King

    Foster, Cairney, Jorginho, Wan-Bissaka

    1. Dakers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Bit worried about front 3 but looks good

    2. Andrew
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You might struggle for goals from that front 3

    3. jon.terry.tfh
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Really don't like the lack of heavy hitters up front. Don't fancy Arnautovic to breach pool's defence at home.Is there really no room for an Aguero/Aubameyang or at least Firmino/Lacazette?

  25. Bring back ole
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Most nailed 5.0 defenders, will lovern start?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Betrand, TAA

    2. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      unlikely. no post-world cup game time.

  26. LangerznMash
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    With Huddersfiled set to play wingbacks, anyone tempted with either of the 4.5 options for assists?
    Hadergjonaj or Lowe

    1. Andy_Social
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Not at first. Will monitor.

      1. LangerznMash
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        oh yeah bad opening fixtures.

  27. jon.terry.tfh
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Final draft

    Alisson
    Mendy PvA Shaw (S.Cook, Wan Bissaka)
    Jota Mane Salah(c) B.Silva
    Aguero King Tosun

    1. Tosun is nailed at striker position and good fixtures. Can swap to Arnuatovic if needed. Zaha might not play striker anymore with Ayew coming in.
    2. Jota can swap to Richardlison/Townsend if needed.
    3. Mane/B.Silva can swap to KDB and some 6.5 or 7 mf if needed.

    Any ideas?

    Plan is to swap Shaw to Keane if he is not nailed.
    PvA to David Luiz if C.Palace start off badly.
    Mane to Eriksen/Ramsey after GW3.

    1. Strchld
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      We have same front 7.
      And I agreed, Jota could be great pick, he is their best player.
      Tosun and King have best fixtures and are nailed.
      Mine backline is:
      De Gea
      VvD-Mendy and Tomkins.

  28. Bocaginge
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    IVe currently got Daniels and Mata. I’m fully expecting to be transferring them both out after wk 2. Anyone got any suggestions?

    1. Bocaginge
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I mean, anyone got any suggestions for a better alternative starting pair?

  29. Queens of the South Age
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Help me decide on last 2 spots please.

    A - Jota and Mitrovic
    B - Sessegnon and Zaha
    C - Some other combination

    1. XABI 15
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Jota and King

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. Sorry. Got King and Aguero for other forwards.

  30. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A DDG. Bednarek. Zaha
    B Fabi. Davies. Mitrovic