Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Lacazette can match Aubameyang output

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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3,777 Comments Post a Comment
  1. TATTOOED_2
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Just read an article on FourFourTwo and the guy who won the telegraph completion says he picks 3 defenders from 1 team and 2 from another so he is only relying on 2 sides to get clean sheets. What do you all think of that? Found it interesting because it flies in the face of everything I’ve ever thought about good FPL tactics

    1. IAmTheWalrus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      i mean does he change it every week? that just seems random af. United have a great clean sheet potential in general but im not gonna have three of them in because once they have a hard game im screwed...

    2. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Not a good idea. I don't care if he won! A blank gw for those teams and he's screwed

    3. Long ball Larry
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Not a fan, means you also only need 2 teams to concede. And would be hard to have big players from city, Liverpool etc so relying on teams of lesser defensive quality, unless spending a lot in defence

    4. Greek Flair
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I guess that’s boom our bust. Similar to putting your whole pot on red or black rather than spreading across more options

    5. Shifty
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      thats what i've done in my 2 top 10k seasons.

      my best ever season (1044th), I remembered there some defender from a random team was in the template...decided to triple up and just get 3x the points "everyone" was gonna get if he got a CS.

      Climbed ranks at the top end very very quickly just cos of how tight the template was.

      I wouldn't write off that strategy...it could work wonders at strategic stages of the season.

  2. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Looks like the servers are about to pop ... hope you guys have a backup?

    1. De Gea Van Dijk. 10
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Gonna get stuck with TAA and Laca if I am not careful.

  3. Make United Great Again
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best bench defender?

    A. Boly
    B. Tomkins

    I’ve got Patrico & PVA as starters.

    1. Lyonnais
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I've Boly in my team.

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Boly

  4. Champ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Apologies. I must be going blind. Where are the preseason notes gone please anyone? Help me I'm clueless

  5. rocrocodile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    In need of two 5.0 mids. Currently on Neves and Crainey. Who's the best options? Switch one of them to Hughes?

    1. rocrocodile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Or Kenedy?

      1. slove
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Kenedy when fixtures clear up, Cairney right now.

    2. Paul
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      My question exactly

  6. arsenalister
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Fantasy Premier League managers! You are welcome to join our league (2100+ points per season and 150+ members). Good luck and have a great seson!

    Classic: Code to join this league: 1142463-307127
    H2H: Code to join this league: 1142463-307146

  7. Stat Sloth
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Where on earth is the Turk-German with his spot-on list of press conferences?

    1. Stat Sloth
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I miss him...

  8. rodog
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Fraser and King (sub in and out based on fixtures)

    or

    Fraser and Ings (free up funds and sub in and out based on fixtures)

    Have got Salah Aubameyang and Aguero

  9. UCL Fantasy
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Good luck today everyone!

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      And you! 🙂

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You too sir

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Same to you

    4. Chockky
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Good Luck Mate

    5. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You too.

      You stick wih Sanchez in the end then?

      1. UCL Fantasy
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Currently yup!

        1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Same here! In truth, I think I just wanted to have something exciting to cheer for in tonight’s game more than anything 😆

    6. James H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Excellent stream last night, mate! Glad someone else has gone Zaha over Arnautovic. Hope your Sanchez gamble pays off - although I'll only have him in Sky.

      1. UCL Fantasy
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I still need to try and get my Sky team done! I'm a bit lost with it all.

        1. James H
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Quick advice - get cheapies in like Boly and Morrison at the back. Few passers in midfield like Jorginho, Keita or Fernandinho, and then your big hitters up front.

    7. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Good luck. Did you go with United cover at the back in the end?

    8. De Gea Van Dijk. 10
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Good luck Andy still time to ship Richalison.

  10. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A. Arnie Bednarek Stephens (343)
    B. Kamara Tomkins Jota (352)

    1. TATTOOED_2
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  11. Indio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Don’t quite know how it’s come to this, but....

    Siggy and Firmino, or
    Alexis and Mitrovic?

    1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      First one

    2. ElliotJHP
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Alexis and Mitro got a certain swagger about it

      1. Indio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Ha, thanks both. First one feels more sensible, but yep guess I’m tempted by the ‘swagger’!

  12. Razmataz
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you say is the best £5.0m defender?

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      TAA could be. Sakho is also up there, Lowton perhaps.

    2. Yome
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Darmian atm because Valencia is injured

  13. MrFootieIsHere
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A) PvA + Bilva
    2) Tomkins + Mahrez

    ?

    1. Lyonnais
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Same problem here!!!

    2. Justin Credibles
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

    4. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I have A, so A

    5. MrFootieIsHere
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Surprised slightly - is it the rotation risk of Mahrez vs. Bilva? Or is it something else?

  14. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Zaha or King?
    **Already have Fraser and can’t find a better 5.5

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      King

    2. Lyonnais
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      King imo. Zaha always was a let down for me in the past.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers both. Same on Zaha for me

  15. Please Help I Don't Kn…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Know this question has been asked a lot, but: Zaha or Arnie?

    1. Justin Credibles
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha for me

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha imo

    4. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks guys, appreciate it.

    5. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Either really is good. Zaha has the fixtures but arnie can score against anyone. Long term arnie for me. I have zaha at the moment

      1. slove
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Don't like the fact Zaha is probably going to play out wide but is classed as a forward, sort of bothers me as an almost backwards OOP

    6. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      So King>Zaha>Arnie

  16. Justin Credibles
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Pretty set on my team;

    Fabianski Foster

    Mendy Robertson Vertonghen Peltier Wan-bissa

    Salah Miki Bernard Schurlle Meyer

    Aguero Laca Austin

    Few comments that I am weak in midfield...so do I go;

    1. Just take miki our for B Silva
    Or go with,
    1. Mane (Salah out) Sane (miki out) Lucas Mora (Bernard out) and Aubameyang (laca out)

    Cheers guys

    1. slove
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I wouldn't go for Vertonghen tbh Spurs are missing so many players at the minute and don't have the best of fixtures.

      Meyer not really a FPL type player , Bernard unproven.

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Very “Off template”

      1. Justin Credibles
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Agree. That’s why I want to make either one of the changes above. Think I might go 2

  17. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best 4.5m keeper duo please?

    1. Francescoli
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I’m going with Foster and Patricio

      1. slove
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Why Foster and Patricio instead of Foster and Fab?

    2. Justin Credibles
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Fabianski and foster

    3. TATTOOED_2
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Patricio and Fab

  18. Francescoli
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Zaha or Mitro?

  19. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Help me out finishing this guys - strong defensive three or three power mids?

    Patricio (Stek)
    Mendy Robbo X (AWB Peltier)
    Salah Mane Richarlison X (X)
    Kun Arnie King

    a) Tomkins, Mahrez & Stephens
    b) Walker, Jota & Cairney

    (Stephens/Cairney would be a bench player)

    1. Francescoli
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Nanoelektronicar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A)gain

      1. johnnys balloons
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Are u playing in our money ML?

  20. Baps hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Many are saying here that benching Mendy is stupid, but I doubt it. I can play only one of the following players and 3 must be benched;

    1) Costa
    2) Hughes
    3) Mendy
    4) Wan-Bissaka

    So why on earth should I play Mendy?!? The choice is between Costa and Hughes. I think Everton defence has been so poor, that I will play Costa over Hughes.

  21. ElliotJHP
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Mane, Mane or Eriksen...

    No need to reply, just need a safe space to vent

  22. Willllsonnn!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Seriously doubting my Erik pick after reviewing Spurs fixtures. Argh!

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      ha, me too as seen above. Been with me the whole time too

      1. Willllsonnn!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Same. Just when I think I'm sorted.. and worst of all I am considering switching to Alexis as an interim fix. What the hell?!?

  23. raoulduke71
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Does pogba get some minutes tonight?

    1. Petrichor II
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Maybe 10 to 30 according to Jose

  24. ZAWAd25
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    when does Son leave for Asian Cup?

  25. Latch86
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A or B?

    ​A: ​5.5​ def / Stephens / Mane​ / ​King / Arnie

    B:​ ​4.5 def​ / Fraser / Mkhitaryan (or Jota)​ ​/ Mitrovic / Firmino

  26. IAmTheWalrus
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Foster Fabianski
    Shaw Mendy Doherty (Schlupp Wbiss)
    Salah (C) Richarlison Bsilva Eriksen
    Zaha King Aguero

    Madness? Too weak up front?

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Super fine, good luck pal

      1. IAmTheWalrus
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        ah apologies, will do 🙂

  27. Ministerjones
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Foster (Fabi)
    Shaw VDik VAht (Mendy, WanBissaka)
    Salah Mane Hughes Cairney (Maddi)
    Aguero King Tosun

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I can't quite figure out who VAht is but anyways

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

  28. Make United Great Again
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Robertson Mendy PVA.

    The defence of dreams 😉

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      That's a weird way to spell inevitable disappointment?

      Same backline 🙂

  29. asquishypotato
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Goalkeeper combos please!

    Hart any good? How long do we think he will have the sticks?

    1. Ministerjones
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Not very long as both other keepers are better even when they are injured

  30. BOOM XHAKALACA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A. Laca & Stephens
    B. Mahrez & Kamara (have Aguero)

    1. Latch86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A