Spot the Differential

Man City injuries could allow Mahrez to reward Fantasy owners

With many of the highly-owned players failing to deliver in recent weeks, differentials are becoming more and more important to Fantasy Premier League managers.

In Gameweek 7, the top 10 points-scorers all had single-digit ownership levels, proving that many of this season’s top performers are still hiding away.

It was another good week for this regular column though. Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m) and Chris Wood (£6.2m) lived up to their billing by registering a goal each.

Let’s hope for more of the same this weekend. Here are three exciting players owned by 5% or less ahead of Gameweek 8.

Riyad Mahrez

Mahrez has been in exceptional form recently

Price: £8.6m 

Ownership: 4.9% 

GW8 Opponent: Wolves (H)

A player averaging 6.4 points per game is always hard to ignore in FPL, although Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) is much more of a hidden gem right now because he plays for Manchester City.

Had it not been for their ‘Pep Roulette’ rotation system, the former Leicester man probably would have been an essential asset weeks ago.

However, a unique opportunity has emerged which makes Mahrez a viable option, at least for now. 

With fitness concerns over Kevin de Bruyne this weekend and the risk of Bernardo Silva missing out (perhaps long-term), Mahrez seems likely to be involved from the start against Wolves.

Despite only starting four league games since August, he has registered two goals and five assists – one every 57 minutes. 

Mahrez has the same amount of FPL points as Sadio Mané despite offering a saving of £3.0m, which shows how appealing his points per million is.

The Algerian’s underlying statistics almost seem too good to be true and some may say that they are skewed. But form is all that matters to me. 

Over the last two Gameweeks, among all midfielders, Mahrez has the most number of touches in the opponents’ half (127) and the most number of touches in the final third (90). 

For good measure, he’s also had 9 attempts on goal during the same period – only John McGinn has had more. That in itself speaks volumes and boosts his credibility.

Man City are due to face a potentially fatigued Wolves team this weekend that lacks the squad depth to effectively manage their Europa League and Premier League commitments. If Mahrez starts, it would be hard to say he won’t be involved in the goals.

Andriy Yarmolenko

Yarmolenko has been in good form recently and earns a recall to the differentials picks

Price: £6.0m

Ownership: 4.0%

GW8 Opponent: Crystal Palace (H)

For this first time this season, I’ve decided to repurpose one of my picks from last week. 

Yarmolenko’s wnership has increased by 2.7% but is thankfully still below the 5% threshold and capable of propelling his owners up the rankings.

The West Ham midfielder has now registered three goals in his last four league games. For all midfielders priced at £6.5m or less he currently has the best points per game average (5.5). 

Also, during the last two Gameweeks, Yarmolenko has registered the joint-fifth most amount of touches in the final third among all midfielders (54). 

This Michu-esque form shows that he’s getting in the right advanced areas and is being rewarded for his efforts.

It is clear that Yarmolenko’s minutes were being managed in August and early September, to ease him back in after his long injury lay off but he’s now beginning to play the entirety of games. 

For this campaign, he is currently averaging a goal for every 125 minutes played, which is very respectable for a budget midfielder. 

Provided he stays fit and can maintain good performance levels he could end up with at least a dozen goals by the end of the season. 

West Ham’s next opponents are Crystal Palace. The Hammers have scored 10 goals in their last five matches against the Eagles and I expect more from them with Yarmolenko at the helm.

Oli McBurnie 

McBurnie will probably enjoy playing against Watford’s poor defence

Price: £5.9m

Ownership: 0.1% 

GW8 Opponent: Watford (A)

If you’re short on cash up top and are willing to take a substantial risk on an uber-differential then look no further than Oliver McBurnie (£5.9m). 

The Sheffield United forward has started four consecutive Premier League games for his team and, since Gameweek 6, among players priced at £6.0m or less, he has the joint-third highest number of shots on goal.

That period has pitted the Blades against Everton and Liverpool, so there’s every reason to believe he can continue to provide threat against Watford.

 Of course, it’s a concern that he’s only scored one Premier League goal during his entire career, which includes an additional 16 appearances for Swansea City. 

But last season he demonstrated his ability to find the net regularly and seems to be gradually adapting to life as a top-flight centre-forward.

In the Premier League, he clearly won’t match his goal tally from last season but I expect him to gradually improve by each Gameweek. 

Vicarage Road on Saturday could serve as an ideal opportunity for him. The Hornets have been completely woeful recently, even after their managerial change. 

McBurnie and Sheffield United could cause them more trouble after having impressed against some of the league’s more established teams since Gameweek 1.

Lessons Learned from Gameweek 7

911 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A. Yarmolemko
    B. Maddison

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      long term B

  2. The Colonel
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Not sure what to do as have 2 FTs. 1m in the bank. Thinking of just upgrading Dendonker. Do i move him to Guegouzi and same a bit of cash, or move to Jorg who is more expensive but good fixtures and on pens?

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      need to see full team

      1. The Colonel
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Pope (Button)

        TAA, Diop, Lund, Tomori (Rico)

        KDB, Sterling, Salah, Cantwell (Dendonc)

        Kane, Tammy (Greenwood)

        Thanks

        1. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          I've still got Kane aswell, gotta keep next 2 fixtures at least. then prob look at Vardy maybe

          that's a fair tidy team there!

          ya sorting bench with spate FT prob best option alright

        2. The Colonel
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          cheers, appreciate that

    2. Pukki Party
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Saka?

      1. The Colonel
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        can't see him being a medium/long term option

        1. Pukki Party
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Just keep Dendo is my suggestion.

          1. kennethrhcp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            blow a FT?

            1. FPL Forward Thinker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Excuse me?

            2. Pukki Party
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Get McGovern as backup keeper he was subbed in last game?

  3. Pep Pig
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    The Team News suggests it could be Son who makes way after starting both his last 2. I'd like to think Poch is relying on him to keep his goal scoring form knowing he's heading off for the internationals?

    I personally think Vertonghen will make way for Sanchez. Possibly Rose for Davies?

    Any thoughts?

    1. Warby84
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I agree I think surely it has to be within that Defence, esp after Tuesday night..

    2. teneighty
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Can't see him benching his best offensive player after the teams embarrassing performace mid week.

      Do managers usually manage players minutes ahead of international duty?

      1. Pep Pig
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        That's it mate. He may just be covering his back for dropping a couple of regular starters such as the above. It's going to be a funny week this week but I won't be jumping on the Mahrez train. Cheers for the replies and good luck

  4. Railwayman
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I have 1 FT, who to bring in, Mount or Yarmolenko ? I have Tammy already from Chelsea.

  5. THAT'S LIFE
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Team news is late. Probably playing the usual Russian Roulette at FFS towers to see who gets to do the Man City lineup....

    1. Rainer
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Debating if its worth the hassle to not have Kun starting.

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Lol

      2. THAT'S LIFE
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        or Mahrez

  6. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Kelly nailed on this week with Sakho out right? He's becoming quite the gem

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      gotta be

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Aye

  7. Pukki Party
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Injury problems, what to do?

    Pope
    TAA Robbo Digne Lundstram
    Salah Sterling KDB* Mount Cantwell*
    Haller

    Button Jota* Greenwood Rico
    2ft. 0itb

    A) Jota to Maupay
    B) KDB, Jota to Auba, Saka
    C) Jota, Cantwell to King, Saka
    D) Other option?

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B is racy

      1. Pukki Party
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        What do you mean?

      2. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Exciting

        1. Pukki Party
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Isn't it

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B for sure

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Would you keep Haller & Pepe or bring Aubameyang & Yarmolemko for a hit?

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Hit. And captain Auba

    2. Pukki Party
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Could well be worth the hit, go for it if you will captain Auba

    3. MJM
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Go for it

    4. Hits from the Bong
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Take a hit

    5. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Hit

  9. Rushford
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do KDB and Haller -> Dilva and Auba (-4)

    No doubt it’s worth it this GW. However not sure if I can play Dilva when KDB returns and then will have to hit him back in..

    1. jomikijiq
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      no

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Not again Shirley
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Haller has CP at home in late kick off so I would say keep for this week

  10. Super Silva Haze
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    After a week of chopping and changing my WC team I have ended up with this. Initial thoughts guys ?

    Pope
    Trent Tomori Soyunci
    Sterling Mount Son Mahrez McGinn
    Vardy Aubamayang

    Button Kelly Lundstram Greenwood

    Thanks,

    1. clamster
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on WC too.

      Mine is very similar - same defence but Rico not Kelly, & then in midfield I have KDB instead of Son, Saka instead of McGinn, and Abraham / Haller instead of Greenwood/Vardy.

      Depends on player values a bit.

      oh, I've switched Button to McGovern, and I'm delaying the xfer of Pukki to Haller until next week. Cheers

      1. Super Silva Haze
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate

  11. Neo-Viper
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Mount Salah Sterling Norwood

    Decent Midline? Thinking of saving the freebie and not axing KDB

  12. Bobby Digital
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    1. Cantwell -> Yarmo
    2. KDB -> Mount/Son/Mahrez

    1.2m itb

    1. Pep Pig
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'm considering Son but only as I want interest in the early kick off. Though not 100% convinced he starts which is making me think I should just bench KDB. I haven't got TV stacked up with KDB but no one is really jumping out. It's a shame Pepe hasn't hit the ground running but surely he has to produce something soon

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I'm thinking about saving a transfer and just let Kelly and Greenwood to come in for KDB and Cantwell.

  13. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Guys 2 Ft confused what to do dnt want to transfer kdb or Cantwell..what should I do?

    Pope button
    Taa otta digne lund soyu
    Salah sterling kdb* cantwell* mount
    Abraham barnes greenwood
    0.5 itb..Help me out f this..

  14. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Digne TAA Otamendi
    Salah Sterling (c) KDB* Mount Cantwell
    Pukki Abraham
    Heaton/Lundstram/Rico/G'wood (1.1itb 1ft)
    Struggling with whether to make a transfer in part because I'd planned to WC in the IB, but even that is not certain. Advice?
    A. Hold and hope.
    B. Kdb to Mahrez or Dilva
    C. Cantwell to Yarmolenko/Saka/mcginn

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A Lundstram perfect for off the bench vs wat

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        True - but Rico too if Cantwell's out.

        1. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          put Greenwood 2nd on bench in the hope of a cameo few points?

  15. Hits from the Bong
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Pukki to Aguero and captain him 3 out of next 4? £5.5m itb.

    Pope (Button)
    TAA Lundstram Kelly (Rico Dunk)
    Sterling Son Mount McGinn (Cantwell)
    Aguero(c) Aubameyang Abraham

  16. davies
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What to do this week?

    1FT / 0.9 ITB

    Heaton
    TAA Otamendi Lundstram
    Sterling Mane Son Dendoncker
    Abraham Pukki Greenwood

    Button Rico Soyuncu KDB

    *I’m wildcarding next week...

    Cheers.

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      KDB out so if on WC next week... you cant have Dendoncker & Greenwood in your 1st 11

  17. Arfaish
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Does Salah, Greenwood > Auba, Yarmlolenko look like a good move this week?

    1. Rainer
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ya.

  18. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Should I save FT?
    Heaton button
    Otamendi TAA lundstram diop Hanley
    Kdb cantwell mane son marvelous
    Aguero pukki Tammy

    1 FT 0 ITB

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I don't know who your 5th is tbh but you've a decent 11 w/o KDB (433)

      1. The Red Devil
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Aston Villa mid, that's the thing, ain't nobody I'd sell, probably Hanley, but no replacement at that price

  19. Gringo Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What about Pepe?

    Do you like him versus Bournemouth

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Took a hit to do Haller & Pepe to Aubameyang & Yarmolemko

    2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      That game could have A LOT of goals

    3. I Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'm thinking about it. Has not passed the eye test at all but lovely fixture.

  20. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A AMN --》 Lundy -4
    B Dendo --》 Saka -4
    C Play Cantwell and risk Rico coming on ( vomits)

    1. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      c

    2. I Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      C

  21. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Do you think Aurier will start against Watford?

    1. Flaming Flamingo
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn't bank on it

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yip. And score and assist and get 3 bps

      1. FPL Forward Thinker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Then I will sell him and NEVER consider him again!

  22. MJM
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    How much is Aguero expected to play in the internationals? Worrying if he’ll be rested when he comes back

    1. Zladan
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      He isn’t in squad

    2. Pukki Party
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not in the Argentine team

    3. farmerfat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      He isnt going to play in the internationals.
      I am worried about him getting rested this week 🙁

      1. FPL Forward Thinker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Oh boy!!!

  23. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I think Pascal Groß deserved a mention in the diffs this week.

    You have to go to page 4 of 8 in the midfielders transfers in page just to find him and he could make his 0.6% of owners very happy against that leaky Spurs defense.

    Pascal has played ok in the games i have seen him and and i fancy him to improve on the solitary assist he has managed so far in the near future.

    1. Flaming Flamingo
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Could be a good shout

    2. Pukki Party
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Thoughts on Maupay? I like Brightons fixtures, will they score enough goals though?

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He plays up top for Brighton and Spurs look like i could score against em so he has every chance imo.

        1. Pukki Party
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers might do Jota to Maupay and keep KdB.

  24. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Shipping De Bruyne. Which option is better?

    A. Mount
    B. Mahrez

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Maddi Son
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Had this same dilemma and went with Mount myself. 99.9% nailed with fantastic fixtures.

      Trying to settle my squad and Mahrez feels like a transfer waiting to happen.

    3. Pukki Party
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Mount long term Mahrez short term.

    4. linkafu
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

  25. Pep Roulette
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A. Transfer out Adrian for a hit
    B. Keep Adrian & transfer him out next week for free

    My 2nd keeper is Button!

    1. Hits from the Bong
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ouch

    3. linkafu
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Same dilemma.. even if he plays I don't expect him to keep the clean sheet. I think I will take a hit and bring Pope

  26. Tauruspt
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    1FT

    Cantwell to Saka
    Or
    Martial to Ndom/mount

    1. NewcastleToon74
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Ndombele isn’t a player who normally scores. Mount all day.

    2. linkafu
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yarmalenko?

  27. TheDragon
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on AWB fitness?

  28. Dele
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Salah, KDB, Greenwood >>> Mahrez, Mount, Aubameyang (-4)

    Yay or nay?

    1. NewcastleToon74
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yay

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I like it

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  29. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I have 2ft.... not much bothering me rn so should I
    a) Lamela to Yarmolenko
    b) kdb to mahrez

    pope
    ota taa lund
    salah kdb** mount lamela**
    pukki kun abraham

    heaton cantwell dunk mings

  30. _Ninja_
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Barnes KDB to Auba Yarmo worth a hit? Would prob do Mane to KDB after IB.

    Pope
    TAA - Ota - Lund - Soy - Montoya
    Sterling - KDB - Mane - Mount - Cantwell
    Pukki - Tammy - Barnes

    1. NewcastleToon74
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I like that. I can see Yarmo or Haller scoring against a shady Crystal Palace team and I don’t need to explain auba