Spot the Differential

FPL Gameweek 32 differentials: Willian, Billing + Ayew

Gameweek 32 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Fulham, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILLIAN

FPL Gameweek 19 differentials: Willian among three low-owned picks
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: LEE | avl | MCI + liv | LEI | sou

Fulham returned to winning ways at Everton on Saturday, having previously lost four Premier League games in a row.

In one of the Cottagers’ best displays for some time, Willian (£5.5m) registered five shots and three chances created, earning the assist for Harry Wilson’s (£5.7m) goal. It coincided with Marco Silva shaking up his attack, with forgotten man Daniel James (£5.9m) – who is ineligible to play in Gameweek 32 – used as a central striker, flanked by Wilson and Willian, who consistently found pockets of space, pulling Everton’s defenders out of position.

In his last six matches, Willian has created 14 chances, eight more than team-mate Andreas Pereira (£4.3m). Only five FPL midfielders have managed more in that time, and four of those blank in Gameweek 32: Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m), Solly March (£5.1m), Kevin De Bruyne (£12.0m), Pascal Gross (£5.4m) and Son Heung-min (£11.7m).

As for Fulham, their fixtures are very good and they’ve still got a Double Gameweek to come. The run kicks off with a home clash against Leeds United on Saturday, who have suffered damaging defeats to Liverpool and Crystal Palace recently, conceding 11 goals. However, their defence has been porous for a while now, with just one clean sheet kept on the road throughout 2022/23.

Willian has been a decent signing for Fulham and could be a key player in Gameweek 32, pulling the strings against a ropey Leeds backline.

PHILIP BILLING

  • FPL ownership: 1.5%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: WHU | sou | LEE | CHE | cry

Philip Billing (£5.2m) has put in some very good performances under Gary O’Neil this season, with recent goals coming against Leicester City, Liverpool and Arsenal.

The Danish international has scored seven goals in total for Bournemouth this term, making him the top marksman in the squad, two ahead of Dominic Solanke (£5.5m). It could have been more, too, as he hit the woodwork early on against Leicester with a free-kick in Gameweek 30, one of his five shots on the day.

He is good in aerial duels, on some set-pieces, and could thrive against West Ham United this weekend. That’s because fixture congestion could become an issue for the Hammers, given that this game is sandwiched in-between the second leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final and a midweek clash with Liverpool.

Beyond that, the fixture list provides further hope that the Cherries can stay up: they still have to face six sides in the bottom half, including Southampton and Leeds immediately after Gameweek 32. These days, Bournemouth are not a team who sit back, either, as they rank eighth for expected goals (xG) in the last six matches.

Billing does tend to blow hot and cold, but at just £5.2m, could be a useful asset.

JORDAN AYEW

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: EVE | wol | WHU | tot | BOU

After an assist against Leicester and a brace against Leeds, there were no attacking returns for Jordan Ayew (£5.2m) against Southampton in Gameweek 31.

However, he played a key role in Eberechi Eze’s (£5.5m) opener and under Roy Hodgson, has been at the heart of everything Crystal Palace have done well in the attacking third. Indeed, his 1.75 expected goal involvement (xGI) figure is more than any team-mate, including Eze and Michael Olise (£5.5m), since the managerial switch.

“He knows us, we know him, he feels comfortable with what we are asking him to do. He knows we will back him up and get behind him, and he is repaying us by playing so well.” – Roy Hodgson on Jordan Ayew

There is real confidence around Selhurst Park right now, with three wins on the bounce. Five of the Eagles’ remaining seven games are against teams below them in the Premier League, starting with Everton, who are conceding chances at an alarming rate under Sean Dyche.

Criticism has been levelled at Ayew throughout his career for his lack of consistency, which is entirely fair, yet his recent performances have been very good, even if they have been overshadowed by Eze and Olise.

Ayew is currently deputising for the injured Wilfried Zaha (£7.2m), so longer-term this move carries risk. However, if Zaha is ruled out again in Gameweek 32, the former Aston Villa man could be a decent differential punt against Everton.



506 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Branch Warren
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Anyone on FH considering starting both Olise and Eze?

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      could work a treat

    2. Ra Ra Ra
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I was on these two. Then I jumped on double Liv attack and just Eze

    3. Mighty Wings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Thinking about it. Depends on whether I play 2 or 3 forwards...

      1. Pomodoro
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        I think that is the biggest call for FH's this week; whether to play 4 or 5 in midfield.

        1. Reece’s Pieces
          • 3 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          On a FH I can’t face a player getting just 30m or less so will be avoiding Liverpool attackers not named Salah

  2. FourLokoLeipzig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Does anyone have a view on how likely Gnonto is to start this week? I suspect he probably will so would like to start him over Mee… but not sure if that’s just wishful thinking as an owner

  3. YoungPretender
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    On FH;

    A) White & Son
    B) Trippier & Saka

    1. ididnt
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      B for me

      1. Reece’s Pieces
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        B

  4. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on FH draft?

    Johnstone
    TAA - Moreno - Guehi
    Salah - Saka - Gakpo - Martinelli
    Kane - Jesus - Watkins

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I like it. The midfield call is the toughest one this week. Kudos for breaking the 3 arsenal player logic

      1. Reece’s Pieces
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        3 Arsenal present and correct

        Gakpo seems good but minutes risk puts me off personally

    2. fredmnz
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Similar to mine..but have Eze instead of Gakpo and Jota instead of Kane. But dont know yet

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      If you favour Spurs over Newcastle. Seems the way to go

  5. Dogs Of War
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Morning all

    Does anyone else think that Tsimikas could start over Robertson this weekend at home to Forest? We’ve seen that before in this kind of fixture.

    Is VVD/Gakpo a better option on FH?

    1. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I believe he’ll start, but if on a FH, I’d prefer VVD to be on the safe side - there’s not so much between their attacking threat with Robbo sitting a bit deeper lately

      1. Reece’s Pieces
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        For that reason I’ve got VVD over Robbo

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Possible. I'd rather have 2 LFC attack, rather than defence (assuming you've got Trent)

  6. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Better option on FH out of each of these?

    A) Robbo & Bowen
    B) Anderson & Gakpo

    1) Robbo & Toney/Isak (343)
    2) Anderson & Gakpo (352)

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      It's the Kane factor that's keeping on 3-4-3 currently but so tempted to go 3-5-2. Sorry, not much help but I think any of the options without Robbo would be my preference. He's not in form, and tactical switch seems to be hindering his attacking output.

    2. Atimis
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Jota in 343 over Gakpo?

      1. Pomodoro
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Yeah, Jota is in my considerations too if I stick with 3-4-3. He would be coming in over Kane with Watkins and Jesus. Kane's consistency is hard to go against, but Newcastle away isn't an easy fixtures. If Jota starts (which im leaning to believe he will) then he's probably a better high points ceiling than Kane this week. It's a tough call though.

        1. Pomodoro
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          If I head 3-5-2 I'm tempted also by Gakpo. Again, I'd drop Kane if so to Solanke, and likely bench Solanke in preference of 5 mids; Salah, Gakpo, Eze, Martinelli and Ødegaard/Saka.

  7. gkoc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Robertson and Jesus, or Gabriel/White/Zinchenko and Gakpo? Pretty undecided, the rest of the team is set.

  8. Atimis
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Ini9tially wanted Solanke but if I pick Jota, won't have a place for him. Thoughts on Billing instead?

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Billing really is flying under the radar. If he scores he seems to soak up those bonus points. On form his points ceiling has been better than for example Bowen, and even Son's recent up turn. West Ham are no great shakes either. If you're on a FH I think Billing is a good option. If you aren't going 5 in mid then it may be difficult to start him over say Eze, Gakpo or an Arsenal mid.

      1. Atimis
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        I'm thinking Salah/MArtinelli/Eze/Billing with Jota/Watkins/Jesus, rest in def

        1. Pomodoro
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          Good luck. Nice differential

        2. Men in green tights
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          Similar to your line up apart from on Ramsey over Billing at the moment

    2. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Gakpo and Solanke over Billing and Jota for me

  9. Pater familias
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 7 months ago

    multiple choice for gw33 (i will have 1 free transfer)
    A) haaland for kane
    B) rashford for (saka or martinelli)
    C) grealish for (saka or martinelli)

    cheers!

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Out of all those B > Martinelli

      1. Pater familias
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 7 months ago

        you woudnt bring haaland already for gw33?

  10. Jässi
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    What is the consensus here should you rather FH or take -4 and save FH for GW34, if you have only 8 playing (and Zinchenko is flagged) with current squad?

    1. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I’d play it now

    2. tibollom
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      same boat, see below...depends how your 34 normal team would look like I guess

  11. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Need to FT this?
    Defence is not the best but feel like I have the majority of mid/fwd

    Raya
    Trips, Botman, Pinnock
    Martinelli, Saka, Salah (C), Mitoma*
    Jesus, Watkins, Haaland*

    1. tibollom
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      FH you mean? team looks good to me

      1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Yep FH, cheers

  12. Pater familias
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 7 months ago

    1. question: What do you this about this team for GW34 and onwards?

    De Gea, Iversen
    TAA, Trippier, Shaw, Estupinan, Castagne
    Salah, Rashford, Martinelli, March, Mitoma
    Isak, Watkins, Haaland

    I will be left with 2.0mil in the bank. (maybe to bring in Jota or Jesus later)

    2. qustion: do you think Kane is missing and what changes would you do to bring him along Haaland?

    Have a nice day

    1. outernational
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      1. Looks pretty good. I'm not sure about Castagne though.
      2. I think you can probably go without Kane from GW34 onwards.

  13. outernational
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Not on free hit. Need to transfer out Kepa & Chilwell to field 11. Any suggestions on which two players to bring in for max 11.4 million?

    1. Pater familias
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 7 months ago

      taa and iversen

      1. outernational
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Yeah, I'm just a bit concerned about having to rely on Iversen for the remaining game weeks. I'll definitely make the move if Steele (my other keeper) is going to be fit and first choice for the rest of the season.

        1. Pater familias
          • 1 Year
          1 year, 7 months ago

          well i would take iversen just because he is cheap while i will bring De Gea in to play till the rest of the season.
          having iversen over steele leaves me space to bring in 3rd brighton player (estupinan) alongside 2 midfielders

  14. tibollom
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    anyone else tempted with holding off the FH for 34 instead? Thinking of using my FT to do :

    a. maddison to gakpo
    b. mac + haaland to salah + solanke for -4pts (then kane to haaland next gw)..
    c. maddison + veltman to gakpo + konate for -4pts

    Raya
    White Trippier Mings
    Saka Marti Maddison
    Kane Watkins

    Kepa Shaw Veltman Mac Mitoma Haaland