The Knee Jerk

The Knee Jerk – Saturday

Saturday’s events were dominated by Manchester City’s seven-goal haul as they destroyed a hapless Norwich City at the Etihad. With the points still being calculated and the performances still fresh in our mind, Manuel Pellegrini’s side dominate our early Gameweek thinking…

The Game Changer

Red hot form, top of the Captain Poll, the most transferred in player ahead of the Gameweek. The scene was set for Sergio Aguero to deliver and he didn’t disappoint. Those who took a hit to bring in the Argentine must be delighted – his 15-point return, with maximum bonus surely to follow, offered a handsome pay-off.

As we’ve written on these pages in recent weeks – Aguero has built a case to be considered “essential” even before today’s performance against Norwich. Looking at his numbers now, the lure to invest in Aguero is almost overwhelming.

He’s now scored in his last five league starts – collecting seven goals and five assists in that devastating spell. That’s seen Aguero hit the top of the overall FPL rankings and, even in a season where a case of heavy-hitting strikers have performed, he’s become difficult to ignore.

The threat of rotation and Aguero’s propensity to suffer injury provide the caveats. While City’s Champions League campaign and Manuel Pellegrini’s options in Edin Dzeko and Stevan Jovetic cause some concern, it should be noted that Aguero has only failed to start one match when fully fit – the trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 4. Having dropped points at the Britannia, we have to wonder if Pellegrini has had a rethink when it comes to his prolific marksman. There’s little doubt that he has now become central to their title ambitions.

Certainly the argument that Aguero is a rotation risk is becoming increasingly muted as it continues to be drowned out by a torrent of goals and assists.

The Underused

With our forward lines packed with quality, there is an understandable reluctance to jump on Aguero’s form. While today’s returns made that stance harder to justify, the David Silva option in midfield does at least present another route to attempt to cover City’s unquenchable thirst for goals.

Silva’s ownership still sits at just 6% tonight and yet his 8-point return, with perhaps bonus points to follow, will mean that the Spaniard has shown strong consistency. He’s now returned goals or assists in five of his seven league appearances, while bonus points tonight would see him challenge at the top of the current midfield form rankings.

Yaya Toure’s huge ownership is perhaps the reason behind the reluctance to adopt Silva as a midfield option. Another set-piece goal for the Ivorian today will likely see his owners keep the faith, however, there is a strong argument to say that Silva, a cheaper alternative to Toure, will eventually surpass his team-mate’s points tally. Toure has relied on goals from three stunning free-kicks this season, whilst Silva is everywhere, providing incisive passes in the attacking third and a good level of efforts on goal from open play.

While the floodgates remain wide open for Pellegrini’s attack-minded outfit, Silva’s consistent supply of points looks assured.

The Selection Poser

Sticking with Pellegrini’s side, his decision to drop Joe Hart to the bench and retain Costel Pantilimon in goal has given Fantasy managers food for thought. Hart has never been a major temptation given his price point but Pantilimon is a different matter. At just 4.9, the Romanian would provide the cheapest route into the City back four from here on in.

Today’s clean sheet was the first since Gameweek 4 but, with the fixture list improving and with City well capable of dominating matches and starving opponents of possession, they may now be a case to consider their rearguard with a sub 5.0 FPL asset on offer. The issue, of course, is just how long Pellegrini will keep faith with Pantilimon given that, in World Cup year, he will be under pressure to recall Hart to the City goal.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

4,270 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Smarty Pants
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Overall average seems to be around 41 points. Statistically speaking, a 99% confidence interval for the overall average is 40.32 to 41.79.
    Approximately 73 points would bring you into the top 100K for the week.
    Tell me your points and I'll try to predict your GW rank 😉

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    1. Assisting you all day
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      73 😀

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        like I said looks like an 80-100K score

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    2. A.
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      58

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        somewhere near 450K-500K

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    3. DÏLKS
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      49. 😉 have good guess!

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        800K-900K

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        1. DÏLKS
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          Hmm, alright with 4 to play!

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    4. Piggs Boson
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      68

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        180K-200K

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        1. Piggs Boson
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          Thnx dog. Your grav makes me smile 🙂

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    5. SPorting
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      75

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        50K-70K

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    6. Pasqualinho
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Mind blowing 2nd sentence. The best 2nd sentence in FFS history. I'm 99% confident of that.

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    7. Declan-
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      27. I know you're jealous 😎

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        2.4M-2.5M, could have been worse 🙂

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        1. Declan-
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          Stop. You're flattering me 🙂

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      2. The Happy One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        Im not, 20

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        1. Smarty Pants
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          2.7M-2.8M

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    8. AAAAA
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      43

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        1.1M-1.3M

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    9. AAAAA
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      *unless they've played their WC this week, which would make predicting their score a whole lot tougher.

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    10. Derailed Bandwagon
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      61-8 (so basically 53)

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        nah, point hits don't affect GW rank, approximately 350K-400K for you

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        1. Derailed Bandwagon
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          😳 of course they don't 😀 Thanks, be interesting to see if your right

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        2. Derailed Bandwagon
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          Bang on sir, 360k it is

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    11. Pablitto
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      28

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        somewhere near 2.4M

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      2. Pablitto
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        not worth calculating ... 2.500.000+

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    12. jas5sk - Youtube channel
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      64

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        270K-300K

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        1. jas5sk - Youtube channel
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          thanks 🙂

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    13. Baa
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      25

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    14. stevus15
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Points totals would follow a normal distribution... Your confidence intervals suggest a skewed distribution... :/

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        nah, the sample mean was 40.05 to be precise

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        1. Smarty Pants
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          *41.05

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        2. stevus15
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          Fair enough, but a 99% confidence interval of 40.32 to 41.79 suggests that only 0.5% of people got a score greater than 41.79. This would mean that if I got 42 points then my game week rank would be less than 15,000! I think you calculated your standard deviation wrong... 😛

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          1. Smarty Pants
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 10 days ago

            it's a confidence interval for the overall average:
            http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval
            it means that 'i'm 99% confident that the true value of the parameter (overall average) is in my confidence interval'

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            1. stevus15
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 10 days ago

              So are you using sample data to work out an estimate of the average, rather than taking all the data to work out the distribution of the points?
              Also a statistician wouldn't approve of your definition of a confidence interval... :/

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  2. Assisting you all day
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Ozil to silva Yes or No first to five wins? (Already got ramsey)

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      No

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    2. Deulo10
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      No

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    3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      nope

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    4. PussyGalore
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Ozil to Hazard?

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      1. ktk_interista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        Definitely not for Hazard 🙂

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    5. A.
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

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  3. RabMac
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    A or B?

    A:

    Boruc | McGregor

    Terry | Chiriches | Vertonghen | Clyne | Chester

    Ozil | Barkley | Ramsey | Oscar | Januzaj

    Giroud | Aguero | Suarez

    B:

    Boruc | McGregor

    Terry | Chiriches | Vertonghen | Clyne | Chester

    Silva | Barkley | Ramsey | Oscar | Januzaj

    Rooney | Aguero | Suarez

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      b

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    2. PussyGalore
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      B easy.

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  4. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    65 with 4 to play....shd get a green arrow 😀 but top 3 in ML who i trail by 70 points have roughly the same scores 🙁

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  5. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Need to make transfers tonight (as have exact money), so would appreciate some views;

    Boruc, Davis
    Terry, Johnson, Dawson, Clyne, Burner
    Ozil, Ramsey, Michu, Siggy, R Morrison
    Suarez, Rooney, Lukaku

    Bank 0.7M 2FT Johnson out (dont know why) Siggy being benched

    A) Ozil, Siggy to Silva, Oscar
    B) Johnson, Siggy, Lukaku to Williams, Januzaj, Aguero -4
    C) Ozil, Siggy, Lukaku to Oscar, Januzaj, Aguero -4

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    1. ManofKent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      B for me

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  6. mgilbert86
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    giroud + terry > rosenior + suarez + keep ozil
    giroud + ozil > ramsey + suarez + keep terry

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  7. DÏLKS
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Giroud --> Benteke worth it?

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    1. Deulo10
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Yepp think so

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    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Villa look limp.

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      1. DÏLKS
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        That's my only worry, West Ham are very good defensively though.

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    3. YankeeDoodleDandy
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      In the short term? Then yes. May need to re-evaluate soon though

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      1. DÏLKS
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        By the short term, you mean the next 6-7 GWs?

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  8. tw
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    so how the feck did begovic manage to ruin my double cs? 🙁

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    1. SPorting
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      He had wind.

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      1. tw
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        tim howard style?

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        1. SPorting
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          No one has that much style.

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    2. Piggs Boson
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      It was the wind that stole our 8+ points 🙁

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      1. tw
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        🙁

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      2. Pablitto
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        master of the wind

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      1. tw
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        are you fecking kidding me...? 🙁

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  9. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Mignolet
    Chico - Shaw - Dawson
    Ozil - Michu - Barkley - JWP
    Lukaku - Suarez - Aguero

    Lewis - Brady - Koscielny - Chester

    2.9 itb , 1FT

    a) Ozil -> Hazard or Silva ( will get Wally in for Barkley the week after )
    b) Barkley -> Ramsey
    c) safe FT

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    1. YankeeDoodleDandy
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Just save it. All of those options are just as good as doing nothing. You'll be happy to have 2FTs next week.

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    2. Phoenix Wright
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      C

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  10. Valar(Keith)
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Beginning to calm down.. Giroud still a good option i keep tellin myself. nothings changed and he has 3 home games in the next 5.. now breathe 🙂 .. gonna stick by my guns 🙂

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    1. FORCA INTER
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      he is not good option with so manny good strikers around

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      1. ktk_interista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        he will score against utd

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      2. Valar(Keith)
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        the option is him to benteke.. got 2 frees and nowhere to use them really.

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    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      He's not...nowhere near as explosive as the rest which restricts his captaincy potential.

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    3. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      need aguero

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    4. Phoenix Wright
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      You weren't kidding. Great team, it will be a luxury transfer indeed.

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  11. QWOP
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Ozil and Giroud to Aguero and which 9.6midfielder? Have Oscar, Brady, Barkley and Morrison as other mids. Was thinking Silva, but then that'd leave me with no Arsenal attackers. So Ramsey? But not sure if he'll keep it up or not. I hate FF this year.

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Hahaha! See below.
      No Ramsey is killing us. Lets jump on

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  12. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Giroud to Aguero

    Meaning Oscar to Ramsey.

    Too obvious?

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    1. Deulo10
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      I would consider it, if it's for free. But probably not..Oscar has good fixtures coming up

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      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        Not sure what happened in the Chelsea game?

        Surely Oscar plays in the UCL, so may be a risk v West Brom?

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  13. Deulo10
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Didn't get enough responses before
    2FTs: (only way I can get Suarez)
    A) Rooney + Giroud -> Suarez + Benteke

    B) Giroud + Evra -> Suarez + Williams(or any defender up to 5)

    C) Giroud + Michu -> Suarez + Ramsey(or any mid up to 7.5)

    (currently have Giroud Sturridge Rooney)

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  14. Scottys Army
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    No other pressing issues so

    Lewis to Harper

    FT

    At least if migs has a tough game harper may have a better fixture.that GW

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  15. gers23
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Rvp to Rooney? Yay or nay?

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    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Not with Arsenal next game.

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    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      No RVP scored in last four Utd Arsenal games.

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    3. YankeeDoodleDandy
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Why? Horizontal transfer....

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      1. gers23
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        Well hes matching Rvps returns...so to raise some funds

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    4. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Yay IMO

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  16. onionbarje
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Its funny how about 6 months ago, people were saying Wenger out, how things change

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    1. SPorting
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      You can still say it if you want.

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      1. onionbarje
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        i just wanted to show how Football fans are so fickle

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        1. SPorting
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 10 days ago

          We're not all fickle.

          I'm quite cleverer than the averidge.

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          1. onionbarje
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 10 days ago

            cleverer lol, you mean more clever

            and then averidge is average

            oh wait it was a bad joke

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            1. SPorting
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 10 days ago

              *Quiet.

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  17. DRIZ ✅
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Aguero will be 11.8 by next week. Bring him in now.

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    1. Piggs Boson
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      I'm not going to.

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    2. Make United Great Again
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      He's right!

      IT'S NOW OR NEVER

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  18. SPorting
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    HEY FORCA.

    How's that no ARS cover theory holding up?

    Ramsey still rubbissh?

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  19. FORCA INTER
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    finally realized how too pick C and not be too clever

    Suarez C next gw

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    1. SPorting
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Oh, there you are.

      All harshing aside, Well done on the WC mate.

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      1. FORCA INTER
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 10 days ago

        cheers sporting , you have a solid team as well

        let's see will your midfiled beat mine 😉

        seems likely

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    2. Adnan Shah
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      I am with you on that 😉

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    3. A.
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Hazard 16
      Sturridge 16
      Silva 6
      Benteke 16
      Sturridge 4
      Sturridge 28
      Sturridge 18
      Sturridge 10
      Suarez 34
      Aguero 36

      That is how you pick captains

      Now if only I could pick the rest of the team as well

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  20. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Original plan was to do Giroud>Benteke.

    But after the apocalypse today it has to be Giroud>Aguero right?

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Yes Aguero in

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  21. ktk_interista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Bottom line people. Get rid of Gru only if have have to get Aguero or Suarez and you have no other way in. Otherwise keep.

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  22. PussyGalore
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Really not liking the whole price rise system. King of forces you to go with the masses for the sake of TV.

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  23. Laserface
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Never make early transfers when there're other games midweek !!

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    1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      If I followed that I would have missed Aguero this week for Giroud which I did last Sunday.

      It works sometimes.

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  24. Nice to Finally Michu
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    How to get in Aguero?
    Boruc (Davis)
    Sakho Clyne Chico (Chester Turner)
    Michu Hazard Ramsey Silva (Ravel)
    Giroud Rooney Suarez

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      take out hazard

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    2. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      oh and .9 in the bank

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    3. YankeeDoodleDandy
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      I mean, your team looks fine... Why do you need Aguero? You won't get any of his 18 points from today by bringing him in now.

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    4. BONZ
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Hazard & Giroud = Aguero & many options

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  25. mgilbert86
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    suarez to rise tonight or tomorrow?

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      tom

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  26. Shane Ferguson 4.0
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    So 2 FT. I am thinking to do Giroud and Zabaleta TO Aguero and Wiliams.
    Just need confirmation how secure is his starting place in Swansea...

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    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      both nailed.

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    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      One of the first names on the team sheet....when fit.

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    3. Shane Ferguson 4.0
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      Thaks for the answers

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  27. get_in
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Folks, talk to me about Rosenior. Is he out on his arse when chester returns?

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  28. Valar(Keith)
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Someone please provide a nice review on benteke's performance today 🙂 .. thanks

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    1. onionbarje
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      BEAST

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    2. mgilbert86
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      two on target off the wood work i believe, could have easily got 9 points, worried about villa as a team, as a whole though

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  29. HarryS
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    Mignolet - Marshall
    Williams - Coleman - Turner - Ivanovic - Collins
    Ozil - Ramsey - Oscar - Townsend - Ravel
    Giroud - Sturridge - Benteke

    What to do?

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  30. FORCA INTER
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 10 days ago

    that Begovic goal made my day really

    Pieters got fluke assist as additional bonus 😎

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    1. Granville
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      He only got you 5 points.

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    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 10 days ago

      The flukiest assist ever, a pass BACK to your keeper, how can it be an assist?!!

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