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The Numbers Game – Forward Thinking Full-Backs

As Branislav Ivanovic blazes a trail near the top of the defender rankings, it seems timely to put the position under further analysis by assessing the attacking potential of the Serb’s rivals. In this latest article for our members, we analyse the early-season data in an attempt to examine the cast of defenders offering the potential of returns at both ends of the pitch.

With Leighton Baines an ever present in such analysis, and new top flight arrivals Aaron Cresswell and Kieran Trippier receiving plenty of hype in pre-season, the attacking full-back shows great promise as a potential differential target.

This is compounded by this season’s changes to the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) bonus point system (BPS) calculation that has reduced the penalty handed out to players who raid forward to take on opponents. While it’s too early to confirm the impact of this change, it’s worth noting that four of the top five BPS scorers in defence are full-backs – right now, the dominant centre-back is not having it all his own way.

The starting point for our analysis was a custom stats table which captured a series of key indicators identified as important factors when assessing the attacking potential of a defender. We’ve chosen to sort our table by “Touches in the Final Third” in order to capture those defenders who have joined the attack most often. We’ve also included data that captures their effectiveness in terms of crossing and chances created, whilst also assessing Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions (CBI) as a means of further examining the bonus point potential of the listed candidates.

Our custom table has been made public and can be accessed here. The table will go on collecting data each week, offering a constant updated snapshot of our analysis. For now, however, let’s examine the data after the opening two Gameweeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

1,253 Comments Post a Comment
  1. qstav
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    should I do eriksen > ADM ?

    1. Somalion
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      No.

      1. Heydudes13
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Is that because you think you should hold on to Eriksen or that Di Maria is not a great option? Think it's definitely worth hanging onto Eriksen.

        Thoughts on Di Maria as an option Som?

        1. Somalion
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          A bit of both really.

          Eriksen has had a bit of bad luck not to be in the points, Di Maria is an unknown quantity.

          Now as for how Di Maria will fare, he could just pick up the role of the assister (which isn't worth the pricetag) or he could wind up being more important to United than he was to Real and as such grab a few more goals. It's hard to determine, I reckon it's tougher to take a risk on shooting when Ronaldo is screaming at you to pass than it is to do so when RVP or Rooney are.

          My approach is wait and see. Even LVG has indicated patience is required with him.

          1. Heydudes13
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Think part of the reason why he joined United was to be a big star in a team. Hence the no. 7 shirt.

            Di Maria can score goals, just that obviously with Ronaldo in the team he had to feed him primarily. Trying to become the big name player though could see him notch a few more than he usually does. All speculation of course.

            Will definitely provide the assist threat. And usually gets 5 or so goals and close to 20 assists a season. This was deemed good enough for the ownership of Ozil and Fabregas to be fair.

            I'm gonna wait and see first. But won't be surprised if I try and pick him up at some point of the season. 🙂

  2. Evans
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Apologies if this has been asked before but what is the latest on Costa ?

    1. Gimli son of Gloin
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Chelsea Alerts ‏@ChelseaAlerts 14m
      Diego Costa is fit to play against Everton this weekend. #CFC (Chelsea TV)

      I don't think anybody knows really.

    2. In Bale We Trust
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      It's all very unclear. He's "in contention", don't know he's in contention to be fit or play but that's all we have to go off.

  3. goldfish156
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    when do prices change? is it not every day anymore?
    thanks for responses

    1. LOCO ABREU
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      every day, 2.45h gmt

  4. YankeeDoodleDandy
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Tough one for ya (and give me your reasons):

    A) Ivan, Costa, Jovetic

    B) Clyne, Aguero, Ade

    1. World XI
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      That is tough!

    2. Mr Wizard
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      A 100%

  5. HUMZAH96
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Who are you captaining?

      1. Parm
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Me?

      2. Exeter Gently
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        sanchez as giroud is out and everyone is going roonpig

        1. HUMZAH96
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Surely rooney is a good option, if he scores a hatty and sanchez gets nothing how would you feel? This is not the time for risks

            1. Exeter Gently
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              risk is part of the game. rooney is a good option, but i enjoy going against the grain every now and then.

              1. HUMZAH96
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  For me, risks should be taken near the end of the season, the start is about being safe and staying in the race for #1

              2. RiflaFC
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Rambo!

                1. HUMZAH96
                    10 years, 2 months ago

                    Was thinking this too but I'm going with the safer option in Rooney

          • Sarnab
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Adebayor to rise in price tonight?

            1. Gazza2000
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              seems like it

          • Back on the horse
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            The analysis on this site is brilliant, it really gets you thinking. And the support and advice from the boards is a massive help too. I have a sense of what is a good move and what a good team looks like, but what I get from this site takes it that extra 10%. Cheers

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              You've got a little brown on your nose 😉

              Agree completely, btw.

            2. Andyjones83
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Disagree.

              I think most of the time we all know what the common sense decision is and then this site just heaps on the conspiracy and doubt!!

              Then you knee jerk costa out and probably back in again!!

          • Bolivian Seaman
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            About 3 days left on the transfer window. What transfers do you think will happen?

            1. theloveburglar
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              if cleverley to villa for 8 million is the only transfer done by any club between now and monday i cant put into words how happy i will be

              1. Bolivian Seaman
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                🙂 What's this rabiot guy like? Arsenal always have to buy some teenager for about 15m before the end when we don't need them

                1. theloveburglar
                  • 12 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  havent a clue mate first i heard

          • Tim Canterbury
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            AEL keeper milking it

            1. SW6
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              😕

            2. Parm
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Looked like a pretty serious blow to the face.

              1. Tim Canterbury
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Ooooo matron

            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Ref booking the keeper as he goes off on a stretcher with oxygen!

            🙄 #nocommonsense

            1. Bubz
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Waited until they picked the stretcher up to book him too, like he would see it...

                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                at least he's not Clarke Carlisle

                1. Bubz
                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  I thought I had escaped his commentary once the World Cup ended 🙁

          • That's Groß
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Filipe Luis > ?

            £5.8 to spend

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              bertrand

              1. That's Groß
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Already got Clyne..

                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  PvA or a Newcastle defender then.

                1. Coaly
                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Bertrand

            1. theloveburglar
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              lol

            2. Frank Black
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Keep Luis or bring in Fazio or Moreno since Fazio will not start against Liverpool probably.

            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Spurs peno
            Kane misses 😆

          • Parm
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Kane missed pen.

            1. JK - Cønt ⭐
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              well that's Ade keeping them then

            2. Parm
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Really poor penalty, straight down the middle. Keeper went to his right but managed to save the pen with his legs, van der Sar style.

          • ZakAFC_
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Krul, (Foster)
            Clyne, Hutton, Debuchy, (Wisdom, Luis)
            Ramsey, Mata, Hazard, Siggy, (Davis)
            Rooney, Sturridge, Bojan

            0.0m, 1FT
            Bojan > Naismith?

            1. Game of Stones
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Should've done it yesterday, no rush now

              1. Snooze ya lose
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                This ^^

          • Bolasie
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Bench one:
            A, Ferdinand(SUN)
            B, Terry(eve)
            C, Clyne(whm)

            1. YankeeDoodleDandy
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              A

            2. JTEXTREME
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Easy A

          • Djerbil
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Re 8-2 three years ago

            Man U : DDG Smalling Evans Jones Evra Young Nani Anderson Cleverly Welbeck Rooney

            Arsenal : Sezny , Jenkinson , Koscielny , Djourou , Traore ; Coquelin , Ramsey, Rosicky ; Arshavin , Theo , RVP

            some of those players for Arsenal have improved massively over the last three years

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Koscielny and Ramsey have. The rest? No.

              1. Djerbil
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Sezny , Walcott

                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  No. Wenger isn't convinced still with the GK, decent but has an error in him. If Walcott had pushed on, rather than getting injured, I might agree.

              2. Ludo
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Szczesny?

            1. Heydudes13
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Kosc, Ramsey that's it.

            2. Scratch
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Lol @ Traore. I seem to remember they shipped him out practically the day after that. And somehow he's still getting a game for QPR.

            3. Parm
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              One of them even has a Premier League medal.

              1. Djerbil
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                😆 I was waiting for it

              2. Podge
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                😆

              3. goriuanx
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                😀

              4. Tim Canterbury
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                OUCH

            4. Heydudes13
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              I owned Ramsey for some part of the season that year in my first year of fantasy as a casual. #TheOriginalRamseyKneejerker

              1. Djerbil
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                I remember almost everyone owned Cleverley here during that period . A 5.0/5.5 starter at Man United and He came back with 2 points after his team scored 8

                The troll was massive 😆 Young got those assists for laying up couple of Rooney free kicks

                1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 13 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  I gad Rooney and Young that week

                  Think I had Anderson as well 😆

                2. Heydudes13
                  • 13 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Remember that game. Rival had young AND Rooney (C) it was heartbreaking. First feeling of true rival horror that was for me. Also had Aguero who did well that day too.

          • LewanGOALski
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            should I do DDG > Krul tonight, as one may drop and the other rise, or wait till tomorrow..?

            1. LOCO ABREU
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              i think they won't change in price,would risk a day. 5.5>4.5 also

          • Big Bad Barry
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Krul
            Williams Clyne Cavies
            Fab Ramsey Sterl Siggy Silva
            Costa Roonpig

            Elliott Naismith Vlarr Pva

            Subs etc right?

            1. matty_b_OAFC
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Nice side...first 11 very similar to mine.

            2. Snooze ya lose
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Defence is a bit weak

          • Mr Wizard
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Is Lovren likely to drop at some point with his transferred out at 71572 ?

          • WHY ALWAYS MESUT?
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            So... Costa injury confirmed?

            Got him in the team right now, no FT left. 1.4m ITB.

            On the bench I have: Zamora, Wisdom, Chester.

            Makes sense to take a -4 hit and bring someone in for him? I'm planning on using a FT next week anyway.

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              No. If anything, he's closer to being confirmed fit.

              Presser tomorrow, just wait.

              1. WHY ALWAYS MESUT?
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks, may as well wait then.

                Not like his value can drop below 10.5!

                1. Coaly
                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Adebayor and Kun are rising tonight though

            1. Scratch
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Costa might still play

              1. WHY ALWAYS MESUT?
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks!

          • RiflaFC
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Anyone considering punting on Eto'o, Gomis or Pelle this weekend?

            1. Coaly
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Lol no

              1. RiflaFC
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                I can see Pelle score a couple this weekend.

                1. Coaly
                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Get him then

            2. tw
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              no thanks

          • goriuanx
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Just seen the Champions League draw. Delighted with our (Liverpool) group.

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Stellar tie (Madrid), yet qualification is realistic. Top draw for you guys.

              1. goriuanx
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Could lose to Madrid home and away and could still qualify. Very favourable.

                City have the toughest and Arsenal's could be a challenge

                  • 11 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Madrid at Anfield is the perfect way to bring the CL back. I reckon BR will fancy himself to give them a game.

                  Ronaldo + Bale vs Johnson + Moreno 😯 😆 😛

                  1. goriuanx
                    • 14 Years
                    10 years, 2 months ago

                    🙄 our fullbacks are in for a killing!

                1. Somalion
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  I would say City's is comparable to Liverpool.

                  One team that is better than them, two teams from weaker leagues, one of whom requires a long journey.

                  City should be fine.

            1. Somalion
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Should qualify, won't top the group but should get through.

              1. goriuanx
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Some top teams will finish 2nd in their respective group, tough games either way

                1. Somalion
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 2 months ago

                  Absolutely, just dictates who they meet in the final 16 which is of course the issue.

                  But a very decent draw all the same!

            2. Djerbil
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              U got an easier group than us at Arsenal . How did u manage it??

              1. goriuanx
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Either it was fixed, or we got lucky 😉

            3. Bolivian Seaman
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Almost perfect, 2 easy teams and mouthwatering ties against Real. Lucky!

              1. goriuanx
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Madrid have never beaten us as well, guess there's a first for everything 😉

          • UCL Fantasy
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Have space for a couple of 5-5.3m defenders. Thinking of skipping Rose/Dier and going with the double of Clyne / Bertrand. Thoughts?

            1. Coaly
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Bertrand definitely

          • MY DJ NAME IS PIMP CURRY
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Is Costa confirmed to be out for long?

            1. UCL Fantasy
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              Not out at all apparently.

            2. Scratch
              • 15 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              4 years

          • Tim Canterbury
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Just going to add Brady to the watchlist and BOOM 4.9 😯 keep it under your hat

          • matty_b_OAFC
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            AGUERO - RAMSEY - DUMMETT - WILLIAMS(Swansea)

            or

            JOVETIC - SANCHEZ - COLOCINI - IVANOVIC

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              toughie. top one, but ivanovic runs it close. pretty sure you can find better than Williams.

              1. matty_b_OAFC
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Any suggestions with as good fixtures and/or goal threat?

            1. World XI
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              B

          • JK - Cønt ⭐
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Jose has some serious Jedi sheet going on around Europe

            £50m for Luiz
            Fee incoming for Torres
            Easy CL group

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              what's the "6>1" about?

              1. Bubz
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                They beat Celtic 6-1...

              2. JK - Cønt ⭐
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                Celtic

                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 months ago

                silly me! 😀 well played those fans.

          • red_devil
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            sterling or silva for long term?? currently on wildcard

              • 11 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              sterling

            1. matty_b_OAFC
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 2 months ago

              same dilemna as myself...currently on Sterling as i have Aguero for city coverage.

          • Coaly
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Minutes and points prediction for: a) Dzeko b) Ade. I'm going to say 30 and 1, 90 and 6